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Vanessa Beeley Vanessa Beeley @vanessabeeley · 21.9K subscribers
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Forwarded from Enemy Watch — Official

🇦🇪🇮🇱 🇹🇷 🇸🇦 | What is being coordinated in Abu Dhabi?

The developments in Abu Dhabi point to an increasingly intense regional push centred on Iran and Ansar Allah. Netanyahu arrived in Abu Dhabi with a senior Israeli security delegation and held an extended meeting with Mohammed bin Zayed, with Iran reportedly at the heart of the discussions. Immediately afterwards, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan met the Emirati leadership, while Saudi Arabia moved to bring senior Emirati officials to Riyadh. The timing and concentration of these meetings are striking, particularly as tensions surrounding Iran, Yemen and the Gulf continue to rise.

The emerging focus appears to be broader than Iran alone. It includes efforts to contain Iran’s regional influence while putting greater pressure on Ansar Allah in Yemen. Israel has made Iran a central security concern, Saudi Arabia remains directly concerned with Ansar Allah, and the UAE has extensive involvement in Yemen as well as close strategic relations with Israel and Saudi Arabia. The convergence of these interests creates the conditions for much deeper coordination on intelligence, maritime security, airspace, Yemen, the Strait of Hormuz and the movement of military and strategic resources.

The sequence is especially significant: Netanyahu arrives with his senior security team, Iran reportedly dominates his discussions with Mohammed bin Zayed, Fidan arrives immediately afterwards, and Saudi Arabia then seeks direct consultations with the Emirati leadership. This is not an isolated diplomatic meeting. It is a concentrated period of regional activity involving several of the most important actors surrounding the Iran-Yemen confrontation.

The possibility of coordination against Iran and Ansar Allah therefore deserves close attention. Any move in this direction could involve intelligence sharing, surveillance, maritime arrangements, pressure on supply networks, political pressure on Yemen and preparations for further military escalation. The Strait of Hormuz would be particularly important because any confrontation there could rapidly affect the entire Gulf security environment.

What is developing in Abu Dhabi should consequently be watched as part of a much larger regional picture: Iran on one side, and an increasingly interconnected network of Israel, Persian Gulf states and other regional powers seeking to contain Iranian influence and restrict Ansar Allah on the other. The coming meetings in Abu Dhabi and Riyadh may reveal whether this remains diplomatic coordination or develops into something considerably more consequential.

🏴‍☠️@enemywatch
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