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Viktor Leonov

Viktor Leonov

@leonovz

Intelligence and Defense Analyst ✍️
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Post #66 24K
Intel Slava 🇾🇪🇪🇺🇺🇸🇸🇦⚡️ — The Houthis have assured the EU they will not strike European vessels in the Red Sea, the Financial Times reports. Similar assurances were given to Washington. The group says its activity near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait is not meant to disrupt…
That’s a good point to start with. The Houthis should focus only on Saudi Arabia, the second-biggest threat in the region after Israel; they should be weakened and cornered. That’s the best thing the Houthis can do. If they weaken Saudi Arabia, the US and Zionism will lose their leverage in the region simultaneously.

@LeonovZ
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Post #65 2.86K
🇷🇺🇮🇷🇺🇸⚡️ — Why do Iran and Russia target energy facilities?

In the war in Ukraine and the tensions in the Middle East, petrol stations, oil and fuel depots, energy facilities, infrastructure, and refineries are continuously targeted by Russia and Iran. At the same time, transportation and energy routes such as the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab are completely shut down. Why is this happening? Why are Russia and Iran doing this in coordination, and what is their objective?

The answer to these questions comes from the fact that Russia and Iran have agreed together to destroy the Western and American capitalist system, by creating an energy crisis through targeting energy facilities and transportation routes. The equation works like this: attacking and destroying these facilities reduces energy production and supply, while closing the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab similarly reduces supply and availability on a global level.

As a result, fuel and energy prices in general begin to rise and surge. Rising prices mean that greater pressure is placed on the global industrial sector, which must secure fuel at much higher prices. At the same time, transportation costs also rise and economic inflation begins to increase. As a result, central banks are forced to raise interest rates in order to control inflation, which in turn slows and weakens the economy. In this way, production and factory activity gradually weaken, while the industrial sector faces a major threat.

Through this method, Russia and Iran are putting industry, economic growth, and the current world order at risk, to the point where factories may shut down and industry, in its current form, may no longer be able to continue. Since industry is the foundation stone of modern capitalism, step by step the current world order moves toward collapse as an energy crisis develops.

Therefore, Russia and Iran want to use this path to bring down and transform the current world order, which is led by the United States in a unipolar manner. For this reason, expect further bombing of petrol stations, oil, gas, and fuel depots, along with more attacks on energy facilities and infrastructure.

@LeonovZ
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Post #64 27.6K
Intel Slava 🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 — IRGC fires anti-ship ballistic missiles toward US Navy near the Strait of Hormuz.
🇮🇷❌🇺🇸— Iran’s Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Use Signals an Offensive Shift

Iran’s recent use of anti-ship ballistic missiles marks a notable shift toward a more offensive maritime posture and could be an early sign of efforts to directly challenge and eventually break the U.S. naval blockade.

These missiles offer Iran two major advantages over cruise missiles and drones. First, their optical seekers allow them to identify and precisely home in on moving ships during the terminal phase. Second, they descend from high altitude at very high speed, giving defending warships far less time to detect, track and intercept them.

Their recent employment therefore suggests Iran is beginning to use weapons designed not only to defend its coastline, but to actively threaten the naval forces enforcing the blockade.

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Post #63 33K
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — NEW: The US Department of State has issued a reward of up to $10 million for information on five key IRGC leaders.

It is strange that Majid Khademi was also mentioned, while it has been confirmed that he was assassinated in an Israeli airstrike on April 6.

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Post #62 5.02K
🇮🇶🇮🇶❌🇸🇾 — Something is going on between Iraq and Syria

Heightened security alerts on both sides of the border, coupled with visible Iraqi troop movements near key crossing points, are raising concerns that Iraq-based pro-Iran formations could soon confront the US-backed Jolani Terrorist regime in northwest Syria. Local channels describe tightened checkpoints, increased patrols, and repositioning of units along known smuggling and supply corridors, while commanders appear to be consolidating forces and fortifying positions.

The situation suggests a shift from routine posturing to active preparations, with the risk of cross-border engagements rising if either side tests the other’s red lines.

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Post #61 12.1K
🇮🇷🇺🇸⚡️ — Iran has an unlimited supply of drones

This claim might seem like an exaggeration, but in reality, it is a serious and open possibility. "Unlimited" here means Iran can continuously manufacture drones and always has the necessary supply for any attack it wishes to carry out.

This is due to several reasons, including logistic support and a steady supply of raw materials entering Iran from China via cargo planes and railways.

At the same time, Iran operates drone manufacturing factories outside its borders, for example in Tajikistan. Furthermore, Russia continuously supplies Iran with Shahed drones in Russian versions, which are even more powerful. Russia also operates factories that produce drones for Iran, such as the Alabuga plant. On top of all this, manufacturing facilities across Iran continue to operate deep inside tunnels hundreds of meters underground that no American bomb can reach, working day and night without stopping to build drones.

All of this tells us that expecting an Iranian drone shortage is unrealistic. Iran consistently has thousands of drones at its disposal for attacks, and it seems unlikely that Iran will run out of drones for its operations anytime in the long run.

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Post #60 44.4K
🇮🇷❌🇪🇬🇸🇦🇺🇸 — Why did Iran attack LNG tankers in Egypt?

Following the closure of the Bab el-Mandeb by Houthi forces, Saudi Arabia has sought to bypass the blockade by exporting energy through the Suez Canal. By targeting LNG tankers at ports along the Suez Canal, the IRGC aimed to demonstrate that Iran has the capability to disrupt any alternative export route. The message is that if the Suez Canal is used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab to export energy to global markets, it could also become a target, just like the Bab el-Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran's objective is to maintain maximum pressure on the global energy market by preventing any alternative route from bypassing a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Closing the Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal alongside the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt approximately 35% to 40% of global energy flows, significantly impacting the New World Order.

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Post #59 32.2K
Intel Slava 🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — BREAKING: The U.S. military is conducting airstrikes in Iran. @IntelSlava
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — SITUATION BRIEF - CURRENT:

Strike rates remain minimal. CENTCOM has not issued any confirmations; reports are solely based on information from Barak Ravid of Axios. Explosions have been reported in Sirik and Nurabad. Conversely, no explosions have been reported in Ahvaz, despite claim made by various channels.

@IntelSlava
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Post #58 35.2K
Intel Slava 🇮🇷❌🇮🇶👑 —IRGC drone strike Kurdish separatist party headquarters in Koya, Erbil, with columns of smoke rising from the site. @IntelSlava
🇮🇷❌🇮🇶🌞 — Iran recently destroyed a massive amount of missile, ammunition, mortar, shell, and rocket stockpiles and depots belonging to Kurdish separatist parties in the Kurdistan region. These weapons were supplied by Mossad and the CIA to wage a diversionary attack on Iran while the US was conducting its limited ground invasion on the southern coast of Iran.

@IntelSlava
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Post #57 39K
🇮🇷❌🇯🇴🇺🇸 — Satellite imagery confirms an aircraft hangar at King Faisal Air Base in Jordan was destroyed, with black smoke indicating an F-15 inside was successfully struck.

➡️ Low-resolution satellite imagery shows the hangar at King Faisal Air Base destroyed, with black smoke consistent with a burning aircraft.

➡️ The IRGC had previously announced it struck an F-15 hangar at the base.

➡️ Coordinates: 30.344352, 36.129351 (Credit to EGYOSINT).

@IntelSlava
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Post #56 11.9K
🇮🇷❌🇯🇴🇺🇸 — WHY IRAN IS NOW FOCUSED ON JORDAN

Jordan has quietly become the center of US operations in the region. As the war escalated, Washington moved forces out of Bahrain, the UAE, and Qatar, more exposed and harder to rely on politically, and shifted them into Jordan. Other Gulf allies also started limiting US basing and overflight rights, which left Jordan as the main hub for American air operations across Syria, Iraq, and beyond.

That's why Iran is hitting it now. The US concentrated its forces in one place, so that place became the obvious target. The strikes on Azraq and King Faisal aren't really about the bases themselves, they're meant to make hosting American troops more trouble than it's worth, and to put pressure on the one location Washington thought was safe.

The pace shows the intent: four attacks in five days, dozens of US troops wounded, and a significant number of US Blackhawk helicopters damaged, according to NYT. Iran isn't just making a point, it's showing it still has plenty of missiles and can now reach a place the US assumed was out of range.

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Post #55 13.5K
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — The US is primarily targeting communication towers along Iran's southern coastline. Strikes on communication towers are the kind of action that would typically precede or enable a ground invasion. Weakening Iran's defensive posture in the south and disrupting its command-and-control infrastructure appear to be the primary US objectives at this stage.

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Post #50 15.2K
🇸🇦🇾🇪🇾🇪⚡️ — SAUDI ARABIA’S FAILED STRIKE ON SANA’A

Saudi Arabia reportedly launched around ten Storm Shadow cruise missiles — roughly $2 million each — from a safe standoff distance to hit the runway at Sana’a airport. Despite the cost and firepower, the strike failed to achieve its main objective.

The decision to strike from maximum range rather than risk closer engagement speaks directly to Riyadh’s fear of Yemeni air defenses.
The more revealing detail is political, not military. Saudi Arabia has declined to claim the attack — instead, its proxy in Aden has taken credit, as though that faction possessed Storm Shadow cruise missiles or the fighter jets to deliver them. The fiction fools no one. A power confident in its position claims its strikes. Riyadh’s refusal to do so points to one thing: fear of Yemeni retaliation.

Two conclusions stand out. First, the operation failed on its own terms — expensive munitions expended for no decisive result. Second, and more tellingly, Saudi Arabia is unwilling to own the attack, outsourcing responsibility to a proxy to shield itself from the consequences. That is not the posture of a confident aggressor — it is the posture of one that fears what comes next.

- Viktor Leonov

@IntelSlava
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Post #49 6.03K
Intel Slava 🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — BREAKING: Trump formally notified Congress that fighting has resumed in Iran, New York Times reports.
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — You don’t notify Congress under the War Powers Resolution over tit-for-tat — this is no longer limited retaliation, but a full-scale resumption quietly advancing under “defensive” language so no one has to announce it.

@IntelSlava
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Post #48 11.4K
🇷🇺❌🇺🇸🇺🇦 — Personally, I believe Lindsey Graham was eliminated by Putin

Remember, he confidently laughed while saying the war had cost many Russian lives and its best investment.

Remember when he advocated for the assassination of Putin, and Russia put him on its terrorist list.

Remember that he was one of the major influencers behind the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei.

He died in Kyiv, some hours before his death was announced by his family. A hotel in Kyiv and a drone factory were targeted by Russia — said to be the same factory he visited. There is no evidence that he returned to the USA. Zero evidence.

@IntelSlava
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Post #46 35.6K
Intel Slava 🇮🇷❌🇯🇴🇺🇸 — Low-quality satellite images released by Iranian media allegedly show the aftermath of Iranian missile strikes on Jordan’s Muwaffaq Salti Air Base. @IntelSlava
🇮🇷❌🇯🇴🇺🇸 — OSINT analysis indicates Iran’s ballistic missile strike on Al Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan destroyed 2x hangars at the base, based on current information.

➡️ The precision of the Iranian strike on the hangars is notable.

@IntelSlava
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