📝Will it get easier for the "shadow fleet"?📝
on possible US sanctions relief

Is it ours or not? A question regularly asked in the context of Russian-American relations with Donald Trump's arrival. If you look superficially at the latest actions of the White House, you could even believe in the Spirit of Anchorage.

The latest Reuters report fits this narrative logically: the US allegedly could soon allow the use of previously sanctioned tankers from Russia, Iran, and Venezuela to transport oil that does not fall under US restrictions.

❗️But! This all looks that way only if you don't look into the details.

For the US, sanctions relief on Russia and pressure on the Kyiv regime are primarily linked to the upcoming November elections. A diesel fuel shortage has hurt Trump's ratings more than the wars he unleashed. And he is trying to solve this issue with fuel from Iran and Russia.

🖍Pressure on so-called Ukraine over Russian refineries is another way to increase diesel supplies on the world market, which is why all this public fuss about sharing intelligence and restrictions on Starlink operations is happening.

Once Trump achieves his desired outcome, everything will very likely return to where it was. The US in current realities does not need Russia so much to completely ease pressure and its grip. And the decision is only being considered anyway.

📌In the Reuters article itself, they immediately cast doubt on whether this will positively affect the market, since most tankers are already operating around sanctions anyway, and insurers will continue to be bound by EU and British restrictions.

And of course, one cannot forget the factor of Ukrainian drones, which regularly strike tankers in the Black Sea and periodic pirate seizures of vessels linked to Russia. For this reason, discussions about potential profits at this moment are far-fetched.
#Iran #Russia #USA #Ukraine #economy
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