Next Week's Macro Outlook: CPI Data Tests Fed’s Stance on Pausing Rate Hikes, IMF’s Walsh Speech Takes Center Stage

Next week, global markets will focus on the U.S. September CPI data to assess whether the Federal Reserve maintains its "discontinuous rate hike" stance. While most Fed officials believe another rate hike may be possible this year, recent comments indicate no urgency to act at consecutive meetings. Market pricing for a rate hike on October 28 has fallen to around 19%, while a December rate hike is fully priced in. Geopolitically, the stalemate between the U.S. and Iran and escalating tensions in

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