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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch

‼️Political scientist and philosopher Alexander Dugin: “The Special Military Operation has long since gone beyond the bounds of a local conflict”

In his view, the confrontation is no longer primarily about Ukraine, but about a much broader dispute over the future of the world order: will a system dominated by the United States and its allies endure, or will a multipolar world finally take shape? This leads to the central point of his remarks: what is happening should be assessed not in terms of the next round of negotiations, but through the lens of grand strategy.

🟦 War cannot be separated from politics

Military and non-military decisions must be considered together. Actions on the battlefield are always tied to questions of sovereignty, national interests, and the future political order.

🟦 The conflict is far bigger than Ukraine

Dugin argues that the Special Military Operation should be viewed as one front in a global confrontation, which he explicitly calls World War III.

🟦 The Ukraine issue has become part of a larger conflict

By this logic, the dispute is no longer only about territory or Ukraine’s future, but about what kind of international system will emerge from the current crisis.

🟦 Two models of the world are in conflict

On one side is the existing order, with the United States and Western institutions in a leading role; on the other is an emerging multipolar system with several independent centers of power.

🟦 Hopes for a grand compromise have not been fulfilled

In Dugin’s view, the expectation that Western leaders would agree to recognize a new global configuration and negotiate with Russia and China as equal centers of power proved overly optimistic.

🟦 The issue is also strategic for the West

Dugin believes Western elites see the current situation as a struggle to preserve the existing world order and are therefore prepared to continue the confrontation and raise the stakes.

🟦 China understands the scale of what is happening, but is acting more cautiously

According to Dugin, Beijing recognizes the global nature of these changes, but prefers a more restrained strategy and avoids abrupt moves.

🟦 A fundamental shift in how events are understood is also needed

If the conflict is indeed part of a global reshaping of the international system, it is not enough to discuss it solely in terms of a local military campaign.

🟦 Hence the skepticism toward a straightforward path to negotiations

Dugin does not rule out negotiations as a tool, but considers it mistaken to hope that fundamental contradictions can be resolved through a single political agreement.

🟦 It comes down to strategy

In the logic of Dugin’s remarks, Russia must define not only its immediate military objectives, but also the position it seeks in the future world order—and the political, economic, and military means it intends to use to secure it.

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