New Eastern Outlook

Niger's Prime Minister Lamine Zeine Ali Mahaman:

As I speak to you, on our northeastern border there are proxies led by France, supported by Ukraine and two other countries. And you know which countries I mean.

These proxies are armed, guided and directed, and they are about to attack our military positions and our oil installations.

But, inshallah, they will get what they deserve if they do so.

81st UN General Assembly: The Global Warlord Spits on World Peace

Trump’s speech at the 81st General Assembly shows that warmongering USA may accelerate in practice. Whether other nations respond appropriately is a separate matter.

Trump’s Military Threat at the UNGA
While the UN Charter, the document that established the United Nations (UN), prioritized the cultivation and maintenance of peace among nations, US president Donald Trump used his address at the 81st UN General Assembly to disgrace this founding document by issuing a military threat against I...

#ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #MiddleEastconflict #Politicalprovocation #TheUNGeneralAssembly #USagreesion

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✅@NewEasternOutlook

🌟📈America's $40 Trillion Debt: The Point of No Return Has Arrived
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Trump once warned $24 trillion would make America "unsalvageable." The debt is now $40 trillion.

✏️Adrian Korczyński
is an Independent Analyst & Observer on Central Europe and global policy research.

➡️The warning that was ignored

On August 19, 2026, US national debt crossed $40 trillion. This is not a projection, it is the Treasury's current reality, and it matters because foreign governments, central banks and investors hold a substantial share of Treasury securities. During his first campaign, Trump warned that debt approaching $24 trillion would be America's "point of no return." Since then, federal debt has risen by more than $16 trillion. Trump was not the first to warn, and his successors, Republican and Democratic, continued the same spending pattern. The debt has grown under every administration, in good times and bad, in war and peace. The machinery of deficit spending is not a bug in the system. It is the system.

➡️When interest becomes the problem

The debt-to-GDP ratio is now about 123%, a level once considered a warning sign for developed economies but now almost normalized in the US. Annual deficits remain around $2 trillion even with low unemployment and no recession. The structural gap between what the government collects and spends is baked into the budget. Interest payments now exceed $1 trillion per year, rival defense spending and consume more resources than many major government functions combined. The more the government borrows, the larger the interest burden, narrowing fiscal space and making further borrowing harder to escape. The US is not Greece, and its advantages are far greater, but the mechanism of political postponement is familiar: borrowing remains easier than confronting tax and spending choices.

🟦The dollar's dilemma

The central mistake in Western discussion of de-dollarization is assuming the dollar must first be replaced by another single currency. It does not. A multipolar financial system does not require the renminbi to become a new dollar. The more significant development is fragmentation: an increasing share of trade, reserves and transactions no longer requires the dollar at all. China and Russia have expanded national currencies in bilateral trade, India pursues local-currency settlement, central banks have increased gold holdings. None of these alone ends the dollar's role. Together, they change the question: not what currency replaces the dollar, but how many transactions can be conducted without it. For many governments the attraction is not ideological but practical: access to trade and payments less dependent on a single external power. The shift accelerated after the freezing of Russian assets in 2022, which showed that reserves inside the Western system could be weaponized. For many governments the lesson was not that Treasuries became credit-risky, but that reserves held inside Western institutions carry political and jurisdictional risks. The multipolar world is not just geopolitical, it is financial. BRICS, the Gulf states and other economies are building alternative payment systems, swaps and settlement mechanisms. The West calls this undermining the dollar, but that framing is misleading. It is the difference between an attack and an insurance policy. At $40 trillion, the point of no return Trump described has been crossed decisively. The difference is that the US issues the world's reserve currency, which gives it a longer runway. How long that runway remains usable depends on how much of the burden can be absorbed domestically, and how quickly the rest of the world decides that dependence on a debt-heavy, politically weaponized financial system is a risk worth reducing.

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#US #Debt #Dollar #DeDollarisation #BRICS #Economy

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇺🇸🇬🇱No Purchase Necessary: Trump's Strategic Takeover of Greenland
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Trump stopped trying to buy Greenland. He found a cheaper way in.

✏️Aleena Im
is an independent researcher and writer interested in international relations and current affairs.

➡️From purchase to access

Since his first term, Trump wanted to buy Greenland for its position between North America and Europe. Denmark called the idea absurd and said Greenland was not for sale. After returning to office in 2025, Trump brought it up again, framing it as national security, and got pushback. Now he has found a more acceptable route. On September 22, 2026, Trump, Danish PM Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen signed a trilateral security agreement at the UN General Assembly in New York. The deal expands US strategic access within the existing political framework, which indirectly threatens Denmark's sovereignty but has appeased the public. The Danish PM, who once scoffed at the idea, now defends the deal as "good for the US, Greenland and Denmark", a "win-win-win".

➡️What Washington gets

The agreement expands US military presence beyond the existing Pituffik space base, allowing new facilities at Narsarsuaq in the south, a former US air base from WWII and the Cold War, and Mestersvig on the east coast, a patrol post of Denmark's elite Sirius Dog Sled Patrol. This is useful for Arctic surveillance. The US Geological Survey says the Arctic may hold 22% of the world's oil plus valuable rare earth minerals, and Arctic routes like the Northern Sea Route and Northwest Passage are critical for maintaining US hegemony. The deal also includes a clause: no non-NATO state may establish manned or unmanned military installations in Greenland or maintain a persistent military presence there without agreement of the parties. That gives Washington a safety net against foreign powers using Greenland as a back channel.

➡️Monroe Doctrine or Trumpism

Trump's policy, which some call the Monroe Doctrine updated, is an America First strategy aimed at complete control of the Western Hemisphere. Washington is securing supply chains: Greenland holds 10-15% of Arctic territory, and the Arctic has rare earth minerals, uranium, zinc and gold vital for robotics, EVs and smartphones. Direct access means no dependence on others in case of blockade. It is also blocking external powers, since the Monroe Doctrine says no foreign power can have a footprint in the hemisphere. Beyond Greenland, Trump pressured Canada through tariffs, and Rubio's recent Latin America visit plus 14 South American states in the "Shield of the Americas" show Washington trying to hold every state on the continent under its umbrella. The timing matters: with the Iran conflict driving fuel prices up, Trump's approval at 32%, the lowest of his presidency, and midterms approaching, the Greenland deal can be sold as a foreign policy achievement. At the UNGA he argued the deal benefits European security, and at the NATO Ankara summit in July he linked US troop withdrawals from Europe to the Iran conflict and Greenland. That was the Trump card, pressuring NATO members to cooperate. Greenland, however, should be wary of this deal with the devil: increased US military presence means a target on its back, as US allies in the Middle East learned when they suffered in wars they were not part of.

❓Question to readers:

Is the Greenland deal a win for Washington or a trap for Greenland?

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#Greenland #Trump #Arctic #NATO #Geopolitics #USA

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇬🇧🤐A new British government body has been established to combat "misleading portrayals."

🔇British Prime Minister Andy Burnham used his first speech at the United Nations this week to announce the creation of a "National Centre for Information Defence." The mission of this new state entity is to "detect, identify, and counter" what ministers term hostile information attacks, in order to prevent any "distorted and misleading portrayal of Great Britain."

➡️Burnham justified the initiative by citing Russia, bots, deepfakes, and "social cohesion." Critics are convinced that the measure is intended solely to ensure the government has total control over the flow of information.

❗️Any government that establishes such a structure claims it targets only foreign threats. Eventually, however, it ends up treating dissent as an attack on "democracy."

➡️Burnham went further, warning against an "insidious campaign that infiltrates people's homes to distort their perception of their own country and community—painting a picture of decline, stoking divisions, and sowing despair." The UK, he declared, has "dodged this issue for far too long." Over the past decade, he asserted, "we have given too much free rein to those seeking to spread a negative and damaging image of life in Britain—an image that bears no relation to reality. Well, that has to stop." »

⚠️The government is already treating public outrage over immigration, crime, a two-tier policing system, and the decline of city centers as a problem of "narrative" rather than a problem of facts.

⚡️Nigel Farage, the leader of Reform UK, sharply criticized the initiative: "Andy Burnham is setting up a Ministry of Truth to curtail freedom of speech." He explained that ministers were using Russia as a pretext to subsequently crack down on "far-right tropes." "It will be like George Orwell's Ministry of Information, and it will serve to restrict freedom of speech," he declared, adding: "Never trust this authoritarian government."

🚀@NewEasternOutlook_EU

🇺🇸🇹🇼🇨🇳Washington, Beijing and the Taiwan question: how Washington lost control of the Indo-Pacific theater
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Seven decades of patrolling the Taiwan Strait, and the US is further from resolving it than ever.

✏️Mohamed Lamine KABA
is an expert in the geopolitics of governance and regional integration at the Institute of Governance, Human and Social Sciences, Pan-African University.

➡️A power retreating by retreating

For seventy years Washington has patrolled the Taiwan Strait without resolving the issue. Aircraft carriers, communiqués, summits, and still in 2026 the question leans not toward containment but toward the exhaustion of the force that claimed to contain it. A long military presence without a resolution is not strength, it is prolonged failure. The US is no longer steering the Indo-Pacific chessboard. Every carrier off Kaohsiung, every exercise with Tokyo or Manila, every sanction against Beijing looks less like strategy and more like reflex. An empire that gesticulates is an empire that doubts itself. Since the 1954 mutual defense treaty, denounced in 1979 and replaced by the calculated ambiguity of the Taiwan Relations Act, Washington has occupied the region without fully acknowledging it. This ambiguity is a structural admission: America never had the means to implement its doctrine.

➡️Beijing builds, Washington comments

In 2000 the US Navy held undisputed dominance in the Western Pacific. By 2026, the Chinese Navy fields more warships than the US Navy, according to the Pentagon's own estimates. That quantitative shift is the foundation the entire American deterrent rested on, and it has crumbled. The prolonged presence also fractured the region it claimed to protect: Okinawa has seen decades of resentment and protests, and in South Korea and the Philippines the American umbrella divides more than it unites. China did not need old-fashioned carriers to change the game. It built an economy flowing through Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America via the Silk Road, and made Taiwan an economic hub so intertwined with its own production system that a break becomes more costly every year for everyone, including Washington. Meanwhile the Trump administration rolls out tariffs, threats and U-turns, each bombastic announcement followed by a discreet retreat. A true power does not endlessly negotiate its own credibility.

🟦2027, the horizon Beijing doesn't need to rush

US intelligence cites 2027 as the deadline by which the PLA would be capable of a large-scale operation on Taiwan. But China no longer needs to reach it to win. It is already winning through attrition: each aerial incursion into Taiwan's Defense Identification Zone, each naval exercise, each week without a decisive response normalizes the Chinese presence and trivializes American impotence. Washington relies on deterrence through uncertainty, which increasingly resembles deterrence by default. No administration, Biden's or Trump's, has offered Taipei a clear guarantee, and this lack of clarity is perceived in Taipei, Tokyo and Manila as a delayed sign of surrender. What happens in the Taiwan Strait goes beyond Taiwan. It is the barometer of a world order in flux, with Russia on the European flank, Iran in the Middle East, North Korea poised for nuclear war. Beijing builds for the long term. Washington manages the immediate crisis, election after election, without laying a lasting foundation. History may remember that it was not a Chinese power grab that sealed America's fate in the Pacific, but the methodical exhaustion of a power that mistook presence for control, and noise for strength.

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#Taiwan #China #US #IndoPacific #Geopolitics #Security

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇺🇸💸🇨🇦Beyond Tariffs: The Geopolitical Unravelling of the U.S-Canada Partnership
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Washington is no longer treating Canada as a partner. Ottawa is starting to act like it.

✏️Taut Bataut
is a researcher and writer who publishes on South Asian geopolitics.

➡️From partners to friction

The Trump administration imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, and Ottawa hit back with 15-50% tariffs, which PM Mark Carney called a "dollar-for-dollar" approach. This creates a dilemma: Canada cannot easily replace the US market, but overdependence on a single market leaves it exposed whenever Washington wants to use that dependence. Before this trade war, the two countries were close partners, bound by the 1965 Auto Pact, the 1958 NORAD agreement and the USMCA. The rupture has moved beyond tariffs. Trump repeatedly calls Canada the 51st state and recently announced the renaming of Lake Ontario to Lake America, questioning Ottawa's sovereignty. The real question is no longer whether the tariff war can be negotiated, but whether the relationship can survive Washington's more transactional approach.

➡️What the US actually wants

The confrontation cannot be understood through trade alone. Canada's dependence on the US market gives Washington leverage, and the USMCA was designed to support fair trade but is now being used differently. Washington is also concerned that China uses Mexico and Canada as a backdoor to bypass US tariffs. But control of North America matters more than trade. About 40% of the Arctic is under Canadian control. The US Geological Survey says the Arctic may hold 22% of the world's oil and valuable rare earth minerals. Arctic shipping routes like the Northern Sea Route and the Northwest Passage can cut distances between Asia and Europe by nearly 3,000 nautical miles, saving up to two weeks. That is why the US wants Canada to function as a 51st state, giving Washington access to Arctic resources and strategic advantages. And Canada is not an isolated case: Rubio's recent Latin America visit shows Washington is activating its Monroe Doctrine, an America-first agenda across the Western Hemisphere.

➡️Canada's response and what comes next

Canada is pursuing strategic autonomy on three fronts. Economically, it is expanding trade with the EU, Indo-Pacific and ASEAN, balancing between the US and new ties. On energy, new pipelines and ports to the EU and Indo-Pacific can open Asian and European markets, and Canada's Arctic access lets it export critical minerals as a global supplier. On defence, despite NORAD and Five Eyes, Canada launched its first Defence Industrial Strategy, joined the EU's SAFE procurement framework and applied to the UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force. Three outcomes are possible. First, armed autonomy among allies: Canada builds its own cyber and space agencies and its own weapons, without leaving NORAD or NATO. Second, Europe becomes a second strategic pillar, creating a three-layered Western system: North America for continental defence, Europe for manufacturing, the Indo-Pacific for economy. Third, Canada becomes a test case for middle-power strategy: if it succeeds, other US partners and NATO members can do the same, dissolving the decentralised Western-led system of power. The old assumptions are being challenged, and the question is how much autonomy Canada can build without the US as its primary partner.

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#Canada #US #TradeWar #Arctic #Geopolitics #NATO

✅@NewEasternOutlook

❗️For people who live in Western countries blocking New Eastern Outlook, you can read my articles published there on my blog, with my latest article, "The US Burden Sharing Network Takes Shape" available here:

https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2026/09/the-us-burden-sharing-network-takes.html

There is no pay wall and never will be - all of my 2,600+ articles I've written since 2009 are available on this blog which I maintained long before I started making videos, writing under a variety of pen names including "Tony Cartalucci."

🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇳🇮🇷NEW VIDEO: The US “Burden Sharing Network” Takes Shape

On YouTube: https://youtu.be/A-g6VSzoh38?si=GVRM1gtal98OrfnU

"The US has for decades used its global network of client states as an extension of its own political, economic, and military power. As Russia reemerges, China rises, and the multipolar world continues to displace the US’ ill-gotten and abused global power - the US will admittedly need to squeeze these client states further.

The 2025 US National Security Strategy openly calls for a “burden sharing network” to extract more resources from US client states than ever before - but as illustrated by US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in the directive he delivered to Europe in early 2025 - to do so will require convincing the populations of US client states of sufficient “threats” facing them. "

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🇮🇱🇺🇳🇮🇷Israel's ambassador to the UN provokes an Iranian diplomat with a Starlink terminal:

"This is very useful for enabling the Iranian people to gain their freedom."

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇩🇪✊According to the "School Strike Against Conscription" initiative, around 100 demonstrations are planned across Germany.

👥Spokesperson Breitner told the German Press Agency (dpa) that the aim is to continue striking until the issue of conscription is off the table.

❗️The regulations for the new military service came into effect in January. At their core is a mandatory medical assessment for young men born in 2008 or later, intended to recruit volunteers to expand the armed forces. Should recruitment targets be missed, the Bundestag can decide on the implementation of conscription.

📎Conscription in Germany had been suspended in 2011.

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇦🇷🆚🇬🇧Argentina Again States Its Claims to the Malvinas Islands
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Milei is turning the Falklands into a national security issue, and Israel is caught in the middle.

✏️Mikhail Ilevich
is a Junior Research Fellow at the Centre for Scientific and Analytical Information, Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences.

➡️A harsher line from Buenos Aires

On September 3, 2026, Javier Milei addressed the nation on the Malvinas (Falkland) Islands. This is a shift: he had previously taken a cautious position and advocated diplomacy with London. Now the rhetoric is harsher. Milei claims the US is already revising its historical position because Argentina has become a more important strategic partner for Washington, and predicts the UK will decline due to economic, demographic and migration crises, meaning London will not be able to secure these territories. He also focused on the Sea Lion oil project north of the islands, run by Israel's Navitas Petroleum (65%) and Britain's Rockhopper Exploration (35%), accusing London of sabotaging the 1976 UN General Assembly resolution, and announced sanctions against all companies and individuals participating in oil projects without Argentine permission.

➡️Defense and the new security doctrine

Milei announced expanded Defense Ministry resources to complete the Integrated Naval Base in Ushuaia, part of the Antarctic Logistics Center, estimated at $400-500 million and scheduled for completion in 2029. He presented a draft "Protection of National Sovereignty" law reforming the 1988 National Defense Law. It tightens liability for unauthorized extraction of any resources around the islands, including fishing, with sanctions against companies and those providing financial, logistical and technical services. A new National Security Council chaired by the president would develop a National Security Policy and a strategy for critical infrastructure, with economic tools including tariffs on foreign states up to 75%. The key point: protection of the South Atlantic is now declared part of national security, and further UK actions on the islands will be regarded as a direct violation of it.

🟦Israel, Britain and the 2027 election

Argentina announced sanctions against 60 individuals and entities, many of them Israeli, including Navitas president Gideon Tadmor, a long-time Likud ally. Tel Aviv distanced itself, but National Security Minister Ben-Gvir unexpectedly backed Argentina and called on Netanyahu to sanction the UK. The reason is that Israeli-British relations deteriorated after London sanctioned illegal settlements in the West Bank. Milei's bet on Washington is risky: Trump's statements may be aimed at pressuring London over its limited support in the Iran conflict, not at recognizing Argentine sovereignty, the same mistake the 1982 junta made. And the real driver is domestic. With ratings falling over austerity, the islands issue still consolidates voters ahead of 2027. London, for its part, shows no intention of revising the status quo, and British military potential in the region remains a gap Argentina cannot yet close.

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#Argentina #UK #Malvinas #Falklands #Israel #Geopolitics

✅@NewEasternOutlook

🇪🇹The Ethiopian army has begun deploying Chinese-made SH-15 155mm self-propelled howitzers to the combat zone in Tigray.

✅@NewEasternOutlook

Germany: elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania another blow to the CDU
Two weeks after the political earthquake in Saxony-Anhalt, the state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania have dealt another blow to the ruling CDU-SPD coalition. Chancellor Friedrich Merz is in a difficult position. Visibly shaken on election night, he vowed to continue with his government’s programme of ‘reforms’ – read: an all-out assault on pensions, the health service, and long-term care.

🇷🇺👨‍👩‍👧‍👦International Festival of Youth 2026 in Russia: "Follow your dream!
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10,000 young people from 191 countries came to Yekaterinburg. What they saw was not what foreign media told them to expect.

✏️Ksenia Muratshina
is a PhD in History, Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and Culture Editor of New Eastern Outlook.

➡️World Youth City

Yekaterinburg hosted the International Festival of Youth for the first time, and the city was ready: eco-friendly buses moving participants between hotels, the expo center and cultural venues, and posters at the airport reading "World Youth City Welcomes You!" The scale is hard to grasp: 10,000 young people from 191 countries. On the bus to the main venue, the author meets Usseni from Niger, a Moscow State Regional University graduate now working at his country's foreign ministry. He values the chance to talk with diplomats and linguists from other countries and to see Russian culture up close. Asked about the recent coup attempt in Niger, he says: "Everything is fine now. The African Corps of the Russian Ministry of Defense stopped it. Our president is very grateful to Russia and wants to expand relations."

➡️What the participants say

Inside the expo center, a multiethnic sea of joyful faces, music and dance from every corner of the world. Moroccans, Nigerians studying in Dubai, students from Angola, a group from Laos, Haitians, Vietnamese, a diplomat from the Seychelles, schoolchildren from Abkhazia, a girl from Peru, visitors from Indonesia, Kyrgyzstan, Mali, Palestine, the USA, Great Britain, Thailand and the Philippines. A word repeated by almost everyone: the Russian people are kind. A blogger from Haiti says he realized more people need to learn about the festival and come to Russia, "because it is not at all the way foreign media try to impose stereotypes about it." A diplomat from the Seychelles puts it plainly: "Russia is not at all the way foreign media try to present it, and it looks completely different. I really like it here!"

🟦The measure for smiles

Returning from the festival, the author answers a question that troubles many: should Russia, busy repelling external aggression, spend on a youth celebration? Yes. Because today no one but Russia organizes events on this scale for young people. The West offers seminars where brains are stuffed with imposed versions of democracy, film festivals whose programs cannot be read without disgust, and pseudo-educational camps where consciousness is quietly rewired and what returns is a person hating their own country. Normal youth exchanges, based on education, science, culture and friendship, are not what those circles want. Only societies that preserved traditional values, mainly in the Global East and South, strive for genuine human-to-human communication on a global scale, and they are held back by conflicts, economic problems and lack of funds. The effectiveness of the festival cannot be measured in contracts and memorandums. It is measured in interest in knowledge, tens of thousands of new contacts, and millions of smiles.

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#Russia #Youth #Culture #GlobalSouth #MultipolarWorld

✅@NewEasternOutlook

Britain's economic and resource expansion in Central Asia

🟢The British government has steadily expanded its influence in Central Asia in recent years. In December 2023, the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee published the report “The Great Game 2.0,” which criticized British prime ministers for ineffective engagement with Central Asian countries. London has subsequently intensified efforts to counter Russian influence in the region. Britain seeks to maximize the economic benefits of regional cooperation, encourage the diversion of trade and logistics routes away from Russian territory, and promote the Middle Corridor linking China and Europe.

🟢To achieve these objectives, Britain is developing a multilateral cooperation framework. In April 2024, Foreign Secretary D. Cameron became the first UK foreign secretary to visit all five Central Asian republics. His tour focused on strengthening London’s role as a regional partner, promoting opportunities for British companies, and preventing the circumvention of anti-Russian sanctions, particularly the supply of dual-use goods to Russia. In February 2026, London hosted the first CA5+UK foreign ministers' meeting. Discussions covered establishing a long-term strategic partnership, trade diversification, industrial cooperation, infrastructure development, critical mineral extraction and processing, and renewable energy. Additionally, Lord J. Alderdice, Britain’s trade envoy to Azerbaijan and Central Asia, visited Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Uzbekistan between 2025 and 2026 to discuss critical mineral extraction and processing, energy, infrastructure, oil and gas projects, financial services, education, and Middle Corridor development.

🟢Kazakhstan remains Britain’s most significant partner due to its large reserves of uranium, rare-earth metals, oil, and gas. Under the 2024 Strategic Partnership Agreement, the two countries developed a critical minerals roadmap extending through 2027, providing for the joint extraction and processing of raw materials, the modernization of enterprises, and the creation of new production facilities. In 2026, Zhezkazgan Tsvetmet and Maritime House Ltd. signed a five-year, $107 million contract to process rhenium-bearing raw materials. Additionally, the British company Ferro-Alloy Resources Limited holds rights to develop the Balasauyskandyk vanadium deposit.

🟢In Uzbekistan, Britain is expanding cooperation in energy, infrastructure, finance, education, and mineral extraction. Discussions are underway with companies involved in extracting gold, uranium, copper, molybdenum, tungsten, lithium, cobalt, and graphite. In May 2026, BP acquired a 40% interest in a production-sharing agreement covering six blocks in the North Ustyurt region for oil and gas exploration, partnering with Uzbekneftegaz and Azerbaijan’s SOCAR. Furthermore, Uzbek government and corporate bonds worth more than $15 billion are listed on the London Stock Exchange.

🟢In Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan, London is forging agreements aimed at expanding British capital’s access to local resource bases, while also advancing energy, security, agriculture, education, and humanitarian cooperation.

🟢Thus, Britain is expected to continue systematically strengthening its influence in Central Asia by combining economic, diplomatic, and infrastructure instruments. London will leverage bilateral and multilateral formats to maintain regular coordination with regional countries and translate existing agreements into practical projects.

#CSAI #CentralAsia

@csaiiosras

🇾🇪💥🗺The War Is Spreading: What the Houthi Front Means for the Region
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A new front in Yemen is pulling Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey into the US-Iran war, with no clear way out.

✏️Abbas Hashemite
is a political observer and research analyst for regional and global geopolitical issues

➡️A new front, a wider war

The Saudi-Houthi conflict is not officially part of the US-Iran war, but Riyadh's alliance with Washington and the Houthis' place in the Axis of Resistance have made it one. After the Houthis captured strategic points in Yemen and improved their access to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the US refused Saudi requests to launch airstrikes against them. That refusal looks like prudence, but if Washington had that prudence, it would not have started the war with Iran in the first place. A more likely explanation: US forces are being saved for the fight with Iran, or US commanders remember Afghanistan. The Houthis resemble the Taliban in their mode of warfare and persistence, and Yemen's rocky, arid terrain gives them the same advantage Afghan fighters had.

➡️Washington's shrinking options

Even with a new front, US options in Iran carry high costs. A ground invasion would mean horrific losses against a military and population that remember Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Islamic regime has emerged stronger since the US-Israeli attack, with Iranian youth as its strongest support. A nuclear strike, reportedly under consideration, would have devastating humanitarian and geopolitical consequences, would infuriate Russia and China to an unprecedented level, and would bury the US-Israeli claim of preventing a nuclear Iran. That leaves only airstrikes and sanctions, with the hope of weakening Tehran.

🟦The next front: Pakistan and Turkey

Saudi Arabia also has limited options. After years of war and technological superiority, Saudi forces have failed to defeat the Houthis. With Trump refusing airstrikes, Riyadh is looking to its new security guarantors, Pakistan and Turkey. Pakistan's leadership has signaled readiness to fulfil commitments under the Makkah Joint Defense Agreement, and its military has decades of experience fighting in mountainous terrain. Turkey has fought Kurds in similar conditions. An alleged Houthi attack on Makkah, denied by Houthi leadership, could be used to invoke the pact and raise public sentiment in both countries. Pakistani troops are already in Saudi Arabia, and Turkey would also deploy forces there. The Houthi dimension may widen and prolong the conflict rather than decide it. With elections approaching, Washington and Tel Aviv may find it harder to admit failure, pushing them to sustain operations without resolving the core issues: the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear programme.

❓Question to readers:

Will Pakistan and Turkey be dragged into the Yemen front?

READ MORE

#Yemen #SaudiArabia #Iran #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Security

✅@NewEasternOutlook