Nausea Geopolitics | 24/7

ℹ️: A Russian Tu-160 strategic aircraft redeployed today from Ukrainka Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase. Despite a Ukrainian drone attack on Engels-2 today, the redeployment mission seems to have gone smoothly. The aircraft will now likely be armed with KH-101 cruise missiles.

🇧🇾: Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko has arrived in Moscow following the CIA director's meeting with Putin.

- The visit is labeled a "working visit," indicating that official discussions will be held between Belarus and Russia.
- Following the CIA director's visit to Moscow, speculation is building that Russia may be preparing to further escalate the war in Ukraine and the hybrid war against the west.
- As we noted in previous posts, it's possible that Belarusian territory may yet again be used by Russian missiles, drones, aviation, and possibly even troops in the near future.
- There are also concerns from the west that Russia may be preparing operations against Poland or the Baltic states.

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- As a result, Romanian and Moldovan leaders have expressed interest in acquiring additional air defense systems.
- Romania expelled a Russian diplomat following the drone incursions, which Russia responded to by expelling a Romanian diplomat from Moscow on the 27th of August.

Map Key:
🔴: Drones in Ukrainian territory.
🔵: Drones in Romanian/Moldovan territory.

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ℹ️: Visualization of confirmed Russian drone impacts in and around the borders of Moldova and Romania (20th-27th of August, 2026).

- On the 20th, Romanian F-16s destroyed a sea drone operating close to the "Neptun Deep" gas extraction project.
- On the 20th, a crater from a Russian drone was observed in the Moldovan settlement of Giurgiulesti. Another Russian drone impacted a truck near same border crossing at the Ukrainian village of Reni.
- On the 21st, a Russian drone strike targeted the Mirnoe-Tabaki border crossing between Ukraine and Moldova.
- On the 25th of August, a Russian drone was found in a tree near the Romanian settlement of Ciuslea, around 40 kilometers from Ukraine.
- On the 25th, a Russian drone strike targeted the Vulcanesti-Vinogradovka border crossing between Ukraine and Moldova.
- On the 26th, a Russian Gerbera drone was found in the Moldovan settlement of Carabetovca.
- Russian drones and missiles have also targeted the Mayaky bridge.

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💥: The eastern Kharkiv direction (Velykyi Burluk and surrounding areas) is also being targeted. Russian aviation seems to have prioritized Kharkiv Oblast today.

🚀: Odessa Oblast has been under attack by a small number of drones and missiles during the last few hours.

- 2 Banderol cruise missiles flew over Chornomorsk towards the area of Mayaky before vanishing from radars near the Moldovan border.
- These missiles may have been targeting the Mayaky bridge or nearby border infrastructure.
- Additional drones are now approaching the same area.

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💥: Monitors are currently reporting heavy Russian bombardment of the front line in the western Kharkiv direction (Slatyne and surrounding areas). Reconnaissance and strike UAVs are also active east of Kharkiv. The bombardment along the Kozacha Lopan-Slatyne village belt is likely a preparation before further offensive operations in this direction.

ℹ️: 13th air raid alert in Kyiv in a single day — an absolute record during the full-scale war. The previous maximum was recorded on March 1st, 2022, when sirens sounded 12 times in the capital.

🇲🇩: Moldovan independence day: Everything you need to know about Moldova's connection to the war in Ukraine.

- On the 27th of August, Moldova celebrated its independence with visits from the presidents of Ukraine and Romania.
- Moldovan president Maia Sandu responded directly to Russian drone incursions by vowing not to be intimidated by Russia. She then declared that Moldova is working to acquire additional air defense systems.
- Zelensky addressed the Moldovan people, labeling Russia the biggest regional threat, and encouraging further integration with the European Union.
- Romanian President Nicusor Dan promised additional security cooperation with Moldova.
- Yesterday, the Moldovan military detected 5 Russian drone incursions over its territory.
- South Ossetian diplomat Vitali Iankovski recently visited Transnistria where he held discussions with leaders of the territory.
- Tensions between Russia and Moldova have continued to rise in recent weeks.

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IN THE SPOTLIGHT:

ℹ️: The continued evolution of drone warfare in Ukraine.

- In the above video, a Ukrainian interceptor drone targets a Russian Geran-2.
- As if drone vs drone wasn't futuristic enough, the Geran-2 is also carrying 2 FPVs on its sides.
- We continue seeing the evolution of the role of drones in war, whether it be carrying FPVs or launching air-to-air missiles.
- Ukrainian media channels believe that Russia will increase the use of such "hybrid" drones.

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ℹ️: The situation in Kherson city continues deteriorating for Ukraine, triggering new evacuation warnings.

- Oleksandr Prokudin, the head of regional military administration, released a statement today during which he encouraged civilians to prepare to evacuate the city due to damage that has occurred to electrical infrastructure.
- According to him, the main Kherson power plant was heavily damaged by recent Russian strikes.
- Due to Kherson's proximity to the front, it has become exceptionally difficult for Ukrainian authorities to repair and manage city infrastructure.
- Russia has also begun routinely targeting warehouses and markets in the region (Video).
- It is likely that at the current rate of attack, Kherson will soon become a ghost town.

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ℹ️: Analyzing the Hwasong-11C, the Iskander-1000, and a potentially difficult upcoming winter for Ukraine.

- Today, Ukrainian media outlets citing the GUR claimed that Russia had recently utilized an upgraded version of the Iskander-M ballistic missile against Kyiv.
- It seems likely that this was the long-awaited Iskander-I/Iskander-1000/9M723-2 missile variant. If public information is accurate, the missile may have enough range to target western Ukrainian cities like Rivne.
- When we add this information to what is known about Russia's alleged acquisition of Hwasong-11C missiles, which have a reported range of 900 kilometers, it's clear that Russia intends to heavily escalate its strike campaign against western Ukraine during the winter.
- This situation may quickly turn into a disaster due to Ukraine's dire air defense shortage. Currently, a majority of Ukrainian anti-ballistic defense systems are located in Kyiv, which could leave western regions defenseless against long-range ballistics.
- The CIA director's visit to Moscow in recent days has also raised concerns that Russia is planning to deploy ballistic missile platforms to Belarus.
- If Russia has begun mass production of the Iskander-1000, we will likely see it incorporated on a large-scale as soon as a month from now.
- All eyes are on the winter as a new phase of escalation looms over Ukraine.

⚠️ There is a threat of additional Russian missile attacks on Ukraine during the next 48 hours.

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Air defense mode

❗️: OTRK activity in Taganrog! Missile activity was detected!

Possible launches:
Iskander-M/S-400

🚀: The Odessa port was just targeted by 3 Banderol cruise missiles. At least 1 impact was photographed.

Nausea Geopolitics | 24/7 pinned a photo

ℹ️: One of the targets of today's missile and drone strikes on the Kyiv region were reportedly warehouses of the "Rozetka" market chain (Videos).

🇲🇩: Moldovan media channels have confirmed my earlier report. During today's attacks, a Russian drone briefly entered Moldova before striking Ukrainian territory.

- According to the channel, the drone flew over the settlement of Palanca before exiting Moldovan airspace from the settlement of Tudora.
- The drone then proceeded in the direction of the small Ukrainian village of Gradnita.
- During the last few weeks, Moldovan and Romanian authorities have continued raising complaints due to the increase in Russian drone incursions over their territory.

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ℹ️ : During the night, Odessa Oblast was once again targeted by a massive Russian munitions strike. It's estimated that Russian forces utilized the following weapons against Odessa:

- ~2 Onyx cruise missiles.
- ~6 KAB glide bombs.
- ~12-13x Banderol cruise missiles.
- Over 60 drones of various types.

The munitions mainly targeted Chornomorsk, Mykolaiv, and regional port infrastructure. Since many channels don't write much about what happens in Odessa, I'd like to clarify that Russia is frequently using an enormous amount of drones and missiles against the region. This amount continues growing as Russian jets become increasingly comfortable with launching glide bombs from the Black Sea, and as Banderol cruise missiles become more available for use. Finally, Russian drones are continuing to utilize Moldovan airspace for strikes on Ukraine. A separate post will be made that regard shortly.

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