ℹ️: Analyzing the Hwasong-11C, the Iskander-1000, and a potentially difficult upcoming winter for Ukraine.

- Today, Ukrainian media outlets citing the GUR claimed that Russia had recently utilized an upgraded version of the Iskander-M ballistic missile against Kyiv.
- It seems likely that this was the long-awaited Iskander-I/Iskander-1000/9M723-2 missile variant. If public information is accurate, the missile may have enough range to target western Ukrainian cities like Rivne.
- When we add this information to what is known about Russia's alleged acquisition of Hwasong-11C missiles, which have a reported range of 900 kilometers, it's clear that Russia intends to heavily escalate its strike campaign against western Ukraine during the winter.
- This situation may quickly turn into a disaster due to Ukraine's dire air defense shortage. Currently, a majority of Ukrainian anti-ballistic defense systems are located in Kyiv, which could leave western regions defenseless against long-range ballistics.
- The CIA director's visit to Moscow in recent days has also raised concerns that Russia is planning to deploy ballistic missile platforms to Belarus.
- If Russia has begun mass production of the Iskander-1000, we will likely see it incorporated on a large-scale as soon as a month from now.
- All eyes are on the winter as a new phase of escalation looms over Ukraine.

⚠️ There is a threat of additional Russian missile attacks on Ukraine during the next 48 hours.

SUBSCRIBE | 27/08/26