Morning Bites (part 1)
🏗China’s excavator sales jumped 25% YoY in September (domestic + export), accelerating from the +13% YoY in August, per CCMA data. Specifically, domestic sales were up 22% YoY (still -34% vs. the same period in 2021)
In our view, the ongoing recovery in Chinese excavator sales, recorded since mid-2024, indicates that the local construction activity is gradually bottoming out. Meanwhile, Beijing plans to cut 'excessive' steel output in 2025-26 (up to 5% of China’s 2024 supply, per market estimates). These factors might cool surging Chinese steel exports, and support global steel prices in 2026, in our view
#steel
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