— Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman met UAE Vice President Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Riyadh, with Saudi Defence Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman also present, creating a significant regional scene. Taken together with Netanyahu’s recent visit to Abu Dhabi, the reported Iran-focused discussions, and the UAE’s renewed statements over the three Iranian islands, these meetings point toward preparations for a coordinated regional move against Iran. The emerging picture is that the UAE is being pushed into a role in which Israel could potentially use Emirati territory, airspace, intelligence, or logistical support for an operation targeting Iran, including the Iranian islands, while American forces could provide direct military support through joint strikes. The consultations involving Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, Egypt, and other regional actors therefore appear to be part of a broader process of planning and coordination surrounding a potential confrontation with Iran, rather than merely routine diplomatic engagement. This could potentially be followed by increased pressure along Iran’s western and northwestern borders, including activity involving the Sistani-baloch terror and Kurdish terror, aimed at further constraining Iran. At the same time, the possibility of a new wave of unrest resembling the protests following the death of Mahsa Amini should not be overlooked. Any provocative or inflammatory action could further intensify the situation, so developments on both Iran’s external borders and its internal political front should be watched closely.
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