The new week will be driven by Fed commentary, expectations for the October rate decision, and several major geopolitical events.
Monday, Sep. 21
🇺🇸 12:30 GMT - Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August. Secondary data, but Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee is also scheduled to speak.
⚠️ BTC is holding around $81,000, while Brent is near $102–105. Further geopolitical escalation could push oil higher and put additional pressure on risk assets.
Solana: Agave 4.3 has been recommended to validators, while the Alpenglow rollout is expected on September 28.
Tuesday, Sep. 22
🇺🇸 Speeches from John Williams, Philip Jefferson and Thomas Barkin.
The key question: will the Fed hike again on October 28?
📉 More hawkish signals → pressure on BTC and ETH, with altcoins potentially reacting more strongly.
📈 Signs that one more hike is enough → support for risk assets.
Wednesday, Sep. 23
🔥 Preliminary S&P Global PMIs for September:
🇪🇺 08:00 GMT - Eurozone
🇺🇸 13:45 GMT - US
Stronger US data could increase expectations for further Fed tightening, while weaker data could give risk assets some relief.
Thursday, Sep. 24 - the key day
🔥Trump–Xi summit in Washington.
Trade relations, tariffs, rare earths and Taiwan are expected to be among the key topics.
📈 Extended trade truce → support for BTC/ETH/SOL
📉 Tough rhetoric → risk of a sharp sell-off, with SOL potentially reacting more aggressively than BTC.
⚠️ Market reactions to major geopolitical headlines can come in several waves, so volatility could remain high.
🇺🇸 12:30 GMT - weekly jobless claims.
Friday, Sep. 25
🔥Quarterly Deribit options expiry.
Around $16.6B in options:
BTC ~$14.7B
ETH ~$1.9B
Once the contracts settle, hedge positions being unwound could amplify market moves.
🇺🇸 12:30 GMT - Durable Goods Orders.
🇺🇸 14:00 GMT - Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
Weekend, Sep. 26–27
No major scheduled macro releases.
⚠️ Main focus: geopolitics and oil. Sharp weekend moves could affect Monday's market open.
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