SimpleSwap.io

The next crypto bull run may need over $1 trillion to happen 🤔

That's the estimate analysts now put on it, and the reason why sits in how much each cycle has quietly cost. CryptoQuant ran the numbers on what every run actually consumed:

2011: ~$2.8B of net inflows → ~55,000% return
2018: ~$365B → ~2,000%
This cycle: $697B → 689%

The pattern is brutal in its simplicity. Two hundred times more capital, a fraction of the return. Each move up now takes more fuel to travel less distance.

That's the price of a bigger market. Scale brings depth and stability, but it also means the moves that made early crypto legendary are arithmetically harder to repeat. A $2T asset class doesn't 50x on retail enthusiasm.

Which reframes what a "bull market" even is going forward. Less about a vertical line, more about whether the infrastructure can hold enough weight for that kind of money to show up at all.

So when do you think the next bull market will happen?👇

Tokenized stocks hit records in June. Look one layer down

Volumes surged 145% to a record $3.86B, and on Solana the tokenized RWA market set its own record at $3.62B. The demand is real.

Then check the depth. The deepest DEX pool behind those Solana numbers holds about $2.8M. Big headline number, thin actual market underneath.

That gap isn't cosmetic. Edel Finance found out the hard way this month: a wrapped Alphabet-stock token with effectively no on-chain market got inflated roughly 78x and drained ~$403K. The stock price never moved. The wrapper did.

The lesson holds for every RWA: a token can track an asset perfectly and still break, because what you're actually exposed to is the wrapper, the oracle, and the liquidity behind it.

Do you check the liquidity behind an RWA before you touch it, or trust the peg? 👇

$BTC trades around $62,800, flat on the week after a six-day winning streak – its longest since March – broke down on Tuesday and faded back into range.

Sentiment hasn't caught up: Fear & Greed sits at 29 (Fear). $ETH holds near $1,780, still under its 50-day EMA, while BTC dominance stays at 58.30% – still Bitcoin season, alts just riding along. One bright spot: spot ETFs snapped a 10-day outflow streak with $221.7M in.

Key level: does $62.5K support hold, or is this just a bounce inside a bigger downtrend?

CPI lands Tuesday. Where do you see the market heading this week? 📊

"Is a crypto crash coming?" For most altcoins, it already came

While BTC held the low-$60Ks, the damage underneath was brutal. Altcoins outside ETH shed 22.84% of their value in H1 2026, and 84% of all altcoins now trade below their 200-day moving average – one of the longest underperformance stretches since the 2022 bear.

The individual hits tell it: Solana down ~73% from its high, ADA down nearly 40% in June alone, back to prices last seen in 2020. For those holders, this isn't a warning of a crash. It's the aftermath of one.

What's really happening is liquidity retreating inward. In healthy markets, risk spreads outward across the long tail. In scared ones, capital concentrates into BTC, stablecoins, and a few survival narratives, leaving everything else to bleed. That's textbook late-cycle behavior.

So the real question isn't whether alts crash. It's whether BTC joins the deeper breakdown, or stabilizes before the damage spreads further.

Where do you think the tail end of the market goes from here?

Forget "safe haven." Right now Solana is the market's risk-on switch.

SOL sits in the high-$170s, down ~30% from its March 2024 high near $260 – one of the year's worst-performing majors. It entered 2024 as the most crowded, most leveraged trade in crypto, and when risk appetite faded, that positioning turned from asset into liability.

That's exactly why it's worth watching. #SOL isn't where capital hides in fear – it's where capital returns when fear lifts. So if Solana starts outperforming while #BTC stabilizes, that's one of the first real signs the mood is turning.

The split to watch: price is still bearish, but the network isn't. Active addresses are retesting yearly highs near 7M, and weekly non-vote transactions just topped 1 billion. Usage climbing while price bleeds is the kind of divergence that tends to matter later.

Do you see Solana becoming the market's risk-on indicator this cycle, or is this divergence just noise?

Even the loudest "never sell" holder just sold – but is that actually a problem?

Between June 29 and July 5, Strategy sold 3,588 $BTC (~$216M) to cover dividends on its Digital Credit preferred securities. Its largest bitcoin sale ever. It now holds 843,775 BTC.

Sounds like cracks in the thesis, until you look closer. 3,588 coins is a rounding error against 843K+, and Strategy has still bought ~175,000 BTC this year. It's a net buyer trimming a sliver to meet real cash obligations.

That's not capitulation. It's a treasury doing its job – a balance sheet with commitments always has a schedule, even one built on "hold forever." The market agreed: unlike the panic around its tiny 32-coin sale in May, this one barely moved price.

The quieter takeaway: any holding tied to obligations answers to those obligations first. The only coins with no strings attached are the ones you self-custody.

Red flag, or just discipline? 👇

The costliest crypto scams never touch the blockchain 🚨

They swap the address you copied, dangle a fake "loophole," or DM you as "support" – then get you to approve the loss yourself. $11.37B was lost to crypto fraud in 2025.

Our Head of Infrastructure Stefan Lauer wrote the guide to spotting them, with Cypherock. Full version on CryptoSlate

$BTC trades around $62,900, holding above this week's low near $61,300 after a weak jobs report triggered an overnight short squeeze to a two-week high of $63,900 – before fading back into range.

Sentiment hasn't caught up though: Fear & Greed sits at 27 (Fear) even after the sharpest bounce in two weeks. That gap between mood and price is usually where the next move gets decided.

$ETH holds near $1,750, up 12% this week, while BTC dominance stays at 58% – still Bitcoin season, alts just riding along.

Key level: does $62.5K support hold, or is this just a bounce inside a bigger downtrend?

Where do you see the market heading this week? 📊

AMA with the Pepecoin team is happening this Monday, July 6, 6 PM UTC

We're teaming up with @PepecoinGroup for a cross-community AMA – not the ERC-20 meme token, but the fair-launch, merge-mined proof-of-work chain built alongside Litecoin and Dogecoin.

They'll be answering questions on how the chain works, merge-mining, the fair-launch history, the community, and where $PEP goes next.

Same day, our team heads over to r/Pepecoin to answer questions there too.

Drop your questions below or bring them live on the day. See you there 🐸

Litecoin: the OG that never gets its due

LTC has spent 15 years being called "Bitcoin's little brother." The label undersells it.

SegWit went live on Litecoin in May 2017, three months before Bitcoin activated it. The first real Lightning Network transaction ran on it too, cross-chain from LTC to BTC, before Bitcoin's own implementation had matured. For most of its history, this coin has been Bitcoin's testbed, not the other way around.

In 2022 it shipped MimbleWimble Extension Blocks, an opt-in confidential transactions feature – a genuine privacy upgrade few top-25 coins have actually built. It came at a cost: several South Korean exchanges delisted LTC over compliance concerns shortly after.

Fifteen years and multiple bear markets later, it's still top 25 by market cap, while most of its 2011-era peers are gone. Still one of 2,800+ assets you can swap on SimpleSwap wallet-to-wallet, no CEX layover required.

15 years of firsts and it's still holding its rank – where do you see it in the next cycle?

Self-custody and yield stopped being a trade-off

Trezor just added native stablecoin yield to Trezor Suite – deposit $USDC or $USDT into a curated Morpho vault without leaving the app or connecting an external wallet. Every step, from deposit to withdrawal, gets clear-signed on the device itself.

It's not the first. Ledger added yield through Kiln in April 2025, routing into Aave and Compound. @Tangem followed in late 2025 with a direct line into Aave. Trezor went narrower: two vetted vaults curated by Steakhouse, picked on the user's behalf.

Worth noting: Vitalik Buterin has pointed out that plenty of stablecoin-yield products still carry counterparty exposure. Fair critique – self-custody removes one failure mode, not all of them.

What's clear is the pattern: storage and yield are settling into the wallet itself. Exchange is the layer that tends to get integrated rather than rebuilt – Tangem Express and the air-gapped ELLIPAL already route their swaps through SimpleSwap's 20+ liquidity providers.

$BTC is trading around $60,528, holding these levels after last week's break below $60K and a flash crash that briefly tagged ~$58K – which puts the strength of the current trend in question.

$ETH holds near $1,594, while BTC dominance sits at 58.1% – still firmly Bitcoin Season, with no clean rotation into alts yet.

Key question for the week: can the ~$58K low hold as support? Overhead, $61.6K and the 200-week SMA near $62.4K are the levels to reclaim before the picture flips back to neutral.

Where do you see the crypto market heading this week? 📊

SimpleSwap now works with @SafePal_official

New to crypto and don't have a wallet yet? You can now set up SafePal without leaving the swap flow.

Choose your pair, create your SafePal wallet in a few taps, and your crypto lands in self-custody from the very first swap.

No detours, no balance sitting on a platform you don't own. Just a swap that ends in a wallet only you control.

👉 Try it now on SimpleSwap

Of 8,192 coins on CoinMarketCap, only 192 are proof-of-work blockchains. Pepecoin ($PEP) is in the top 20 of them 🐸

Most people think Pepecoin is the PEPE meme token. It isn't. PEPE rides Ethereum. PEP runs its own chain, merge-mined with Litecoin and Dogecoin, no premine, no ICO.

Why build a whole blockchain for a frog? We explain

The biggest IPO in history is nearly two weeks old, and it already has a second chapter!

SpaceX raised $75B at a ~$1.75T valuation on June 12 – more than double Aramco's record. Three days later it announced a $60B acquisition of Cursor, the largest startup acquisition ever recorded.

For most of its life, SpaceX was the textbook company you couldn't buy into unless you sat near the cap table. That door stayed shut – until real-world assets started moving on-chain and the access question got a different answer.

That's where $SPCXX comes in: a tokenized share now swappable on SimpleSwap.

After touching an all-time high of $225.64 on June 16, the stock has corrected and now trades around $156 as the initial momentum stabilizes. The first leg up was rapid, but where it goes from here is an open question.

What do you think the outlook is for $SPCXX from here? 👇

SimpleSwap is now integrated into the Cypherock X1 🤝

Swap directly on the device: pick the pair, tap a card to confirm, and funds move wallet-to-wallet across 20+ liquidity sources. Your private key stays split across the Vault and four cards the whole time.

The X1 goes from a place to park assets to a place to use them – 2,800+ assets, none of it touching custody.

Read more about the SimpleSwap × Cypherock integration

$BTC is trading around $64,505, holding these levels after last week's break below the rising channel – which puts the strength of the current trend in question.

The interesting part: sentiment hasn't caught up with the tape. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 22 (Fear) even as price stabilizes, and that gap between mood and price is usually where the next move is decided.

$ETH holds near $1,752, while BTC dominance sits at 58.40% – still firmly Bitcoin Season, with no clean rotation into alts yet.

Key question for the week: can the freshly formed trendline hold? Support to defend is ~$61.8K–$62K. Reclaiming the channel flips the picture back to neutral.

Where do you see the crypto market heading this week? 📊

⚡️ More assets are now available on SimpleSwap

$RE, $WALLI, $ZEST, $ATWO, $NEX, $QAIT, $OBASE, $ILY, $DEUS, $SPA, $YOM, $ELIZAOS, $STAR, $CTR, $KONET, $HPP, and $SHX are now supported for wallet-to-wallet swaps.

➡️ Head to SimpleSwap to explore the new coins

That USB clipboard malware Microsoft just flagged? It's one of seven scams quietly draining wallets right now.

The common thread: none of them hack the blockchain. They get you to approve the loss – a swapped address, a signed approval, a lookalike site.

We mapped each one and the habit that stops it.

👉 Read the full guide

34 years of "don't trust, verify"

One idea, six moments:

1992 – The Cypherpunks Mailing List is founded by Eric Hughes, Tim May, and John Gilmore.

Jan 3, 2009 – Bitcoin's genesis block. Coinbase message: "Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks."

Jan 2009 – Hal Finney tweets "Running bitcoin," and receives the first peer-to-peer BTC transaction days later.

Feb 2014 – Mt. Gox collapses. ~850,000 BTC gone.

Nov 2022 – FTX collapses. ~$8B in customer funds missing.

2026 – More value than ever sits in self-custodial wallets.

The instinct won. But it only won the first round.

👉 What's still open