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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸 Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸 @rnintel · 195K subscribers
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸 🇪🇹⚡- BREAKING: Ethiopia's Deputy Chief of Staff Abebaw Tadesse says the Ethiopian military, ENDF, will soon enter the Tigray Interim Administration, TIA, region and assume control of all military bases. While acknowledging the military operation will face…
🇪🇹⚡- Tigray Defense Forces have entered and taken over the town of Alamata, southern Tigray Interim Administration, TIA, region, Ethiopia.

This marks the furthest south TDF have deployed its forces since the 2022 Pretoria Agreement.

Map by Rerum Novarum shows the approximate situation in Northern Ethiopia:

- Orange: TDF presence (it does not indicate control). TDF are TPLF factions, led by Debretsion Gebremichael and his TPLF-D unit, that support Tigray separatism. It also includes the large Masho Beyene-led TPLF-M faction.

TDF have heavy influence in the mountains of Agame and Asegede, and the towns around Gundagundi, along Eritrea's borders. TPLF-D's stronghold remains in the Angolaba area. The bulk of the TDF is located along the Tigray-Afar border region, where they have clashed with the Addis Ababa-backed ethnic Afar militias in the past. The lack of security personnel along the Tigray-Afar border provides the group with space to host military camps. It is therefore this area that will likely see the majority of fighting, if the Ethiopian military decides to launch its operation to capture all Tigray camps.

It's normally assumed that there are approximately 200,000 soldiers in the TDF, while Ethiopian media tends to inflate the numbers much higher.

- The brown border shows the Tigray Interim Administration, TIA. Note, the borders of the Tigray region and TIA are not the same, TIA controls slight areas of neighbouring regional territories (as per the 2022 Pretoria Agreement), and lays claim to additional lands.

TIA and its military affiliate Tigray Peace Forces, TPF, are loyal to the former TIA Chief Getachew Reda, who fled to Addis Ababa last year after clashes erupted between TIA (+TPF) and TPLF-D. TPF are mostly pro-Addis Ababa and have fought the TDF in the past. TPF's command structure is located in the neighbouring Afar region, secured by Addis Ababa-backed ethnic Afar militias.

- Note, it's unconfirmed whether TPLF-70, a Sudan-based and pro-Khartoum Tigray unit, is allied with the TDF. Hence, its presence in the Fasherga area is not shown on the map.
- Note, Afar, Amhara, Ogaden and Oromia separatists are not shown on the map.

- Note, it's normally assumed the entire Tigray region opposes Addis Ababa – that is not the case.
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