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Post #111965 24

Forwarded from Gong Jiao Wei 巩娇玮

Will 5.0% be the ceiling for the nominal Treasury yield? Maybe not, but for bond investors the risk-reward math has gotten considerably better. The 5% yield provides such a good cushion that if the 10-year yield were to fall 100 bps, an investor would make 11.9%, while only losing 1.9% if the yield were to rise to 6%.


https://x.com/EffMktHype/status/2103438271770759636
X (formerly Twitter) 𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞 (@EffMktHype) on X Something that's getting slightly in the comments: Total return = Price chg (A) + Carry (B) The attractive r:r of the +/- 😒100bps scenario is mostly because of B because yields are ~5% and the …
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