Whether or not this study is true or even plausible, everyone is going to point to it and keep citing it and the studies and opeds that cite it will be cited by other studies and opeds and so on and so forth. It's a dishonest enterprise. But really, we could just say, "First comes love, then comes marriage, then comes the baby in the baby carriage—and to get there you have to get off your damn phone." Why don't we just say that? It would be far more intellectually honest and compelling, and insofar as we would disagree amongst ourselves, we could then argue on what we really hold dear morally rather than pretending to argue over numbers.
Social science is good for many things, but we should stop citing it for these sorts of questions, even when it confirms our biases.
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————————— The U.S. general fertility rate has fallen by 22% since 2007, a sustained decline not readily explained by economic conditions, contraceptive use, housing or childcare costs, or other commonly cited factors. We assess the potential role of a different shock:…