UMA DIGEST — 24 SEPTEMBER 2026

🔥 News & Announcements

alexchunus flagged that some proposers have been resolving TV show/YouTube mention markets as NO based on transcripts alone, sometimes within minutes of release — suggesting either insider access or AI-assisted listening. He recommends watching the videos to catch mistakes.

alexchunus also proposed that non-sports/non-price markets should have a fixed 9-hour liveness window with no extensions, which exquisite_wolf_79651 supported. bromley86 suggested an 8-hour default window to avoid variable-length settlements.

Tennis rewards have apparently dropped to 0.8, with no more racing mentioned.

⚠️ Bugs & Issues

whoooo8888 reported being unable to post in dispute threads despite slow mode showing no previous messages. infinity_d acknowledged the issue as odd.

A potential bot arithmetic error was identified in tennis proposals: the bot proposed over 8.5 s2 and over 21.5 match totals simultaneously, and over 9.5 s2 and over 22.5 match totals simultaneously — suggesting the game and match totals thresholds were being triggered at the wrong time.

⚡ Disputes

Saudi Oil Pipeline market (Polymarket)
Proposed as NO. sachosho noted the resolution source requires official Saudi government confirmation, which has not been issued. gum5683 argued it should resolve YES based on Reuters reporting and confirmed funds are being pooled for a dispute. sachosho maintained that Reuters does not qualify under the stated resolution criteria.

"Will Trump say ballroom?" ribbon-cutting ceremony market
bromley86 proposed NO and the market was contested by nefffooor, who claims to have heard Trump say "ballroom" on the White House livestream at ~1:37 of the linked VOD, confirmed with good headphones. bromley86 countered that the word is inaudible over helicopter noise, and noted that Kalshi resolved the same market NO. infinity_d (resolver) was asked to hold off on settlement. The dispute remains open pending further review, with a ~$2,000 block order in the book. mebeim argued Polymarket should clarify all such markets as NO immediately.

Tennis P4 dispute — Total Games O/U 21.5
oscarlard disputed the proposal as premature (P4), claiming the bot proposed the over 21.5 market when the score was 3-5 in the second set, over four minutes before the score reached 4-5. joes49572 argued the dispute lacks the required standard of proof — no real-time screenshots or video with a visible clock — and that relying on VOD timestamps and UMA proposal timings is purely circumstantial. oscarlard subsequently posted VOD and ITF API evidence: the ITF API records match completion at 19:59:11 UTC, and the VOD corroborates a 4+ minute early proposal. mebeim suggested the approach is workable if corroborated across multiple matches. joes49572 maintained that the dispute should not have been filed without solid prior evidence and that this sets a bad precedent. The dispute remains active pending UMA vote.

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary margin market
snowhite1359 questioned whether the market was proposed early (P4), noting that the NH Secretary of State results page carries a disclaimer that tallies are subject to change. im.the.wizard argued the results are effectively finalized since the SoS linked them, and noted the proposer has a strong track record. No dispute filed yet.

📋 Clarifications

A CS2 market (Exodia vs. Yawara, Map 1) was flagged as potentially needing a 50/50 default resolution after HLTV listed the result as a default win. infinity_d directed the user to the appropriate channels.

A cricket market (CRI CYM vs BER) was flagged for urgent resolution to prevent user losses, as two matches between the same teams exist and the correct one had already concluded. infinity_d redirected to the relevant channels.