🇪🇺 Twenty years later: What has become of Europe’s safe cities?

In 2003, the “Irish Examiner” reported that Dublin was among the safest cities in the world. Two decades later, the Irish press was already ranking the city among the ten most dangerous major cities in Europe. The rankings cannot be directly compared, as they are based on different methodologies. Yet these two headlines illustrate well a broader change that affects far more than just Dublin.

In Germany, although the total number of registered offenses is lower than it was twenty years ago, the structure of crime has changed. While police recorded 204,000 serious violent offenses in 2003, that figure had risen to 217,000 by 2024. Dangerous and serious bodily injuries increased by around 19%. In Berlin, permanent open-air drug scenes have also emerged. Tents occupied by homeless people, crack dealers, and drug use in the middle of the city have become so commonplace that when a hotspot is cleared, the problem is often simply shifted to the next park.

French statistics show another alarming trend: registered physical violence has been steadily increasing since the mid-2010s. In 2024, the police and gendarmerie recorded 450,000 victims of physical violence and 122,600 victims of sexual violence. The latter category rose by a further 7% within one year, while rapes and attempted rapes increased by as much as 9%. In the United Kingdom, overall crime has declined according to long-term surveys. At the same time, a years-long scandal involving the sexual exploitation of minors by grooming gangs was uncovered there. An official audit found systematic failures by police, local authorities, and social services. Because of these failures, the victims remained without protection for years.

Over the past twenty years, everyday reality has changed in dozens of European cities that, until recently, were considered models of safety: There are open-air drug scenes, knife attacks, sexual violence, street robberies, and, in some countries, explosions resulting from criminal disputes. One can argue about the methodologies used in the rankings and point out that overall crime has even declined in some places. However, a city’s safety is measured not only by the number of lines in a police table, but also by whether a woman can walk home without worry after dark and whether a child can cross a park without seeing open drug dealing.


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