🇮🇱🇹🇷 After Iran — is it Turkey? A new conflict is forming in Syria

The Israeli-Turkish rivalry in Syria is gradually developing into an independent regional conflict.

After the fall of the former Syrian order, Ankara has significantly expanded its influence in Damascus and expects to be involved in the reshaping of the Syrian army and state institutions. For Israel, such a Turkish military presence immediately on its borders is becoming an increasingly serious problem.

Recent Israeli attacks on Syrian facilities have shown how close both sides already are to the dangerous line. The attack on the Abu al-Duhur air base was carried out after reports of a visit by a Turkish delegation on site. ⁠Later, the US special envoy Tom Barrack warned that the incident could have quickly escalated into a direct military confrontation between Israel and Turkey.

In the Israeli debate, a new form of wording is therefore emerging: ⁠Turkey is increasingly being viewed not only as a difficult NATO partner, but as a potential regional strategic rival, which in some assessments is comparable to Iran in terms of its importance.

And that is precisely where the problem lies.

Washington is working at the same time with Israel, Turkey and the new Syrian leadership. The US is trying to create a mechanism to prevent clashes between the three parties, and ⁠Barrack has effectively become a mediator between competing American allies. A special coordination channel under American control is already being discussed, which is meant to prevent another air strike from turning into an Israel-Turkey war.

This results in a rather unusual setup: Two key American partners are fighting in the territory of a third country for influence, and Washington is now forced to ensure that they do not inadvertently start shooting at each other.

And Syria is gradually transforming from a zone of Israeli-Iranian confrontation into the arena of an entirely different conflict.


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