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Nausea Geopolitics | 24/7 Nausea Geopolitics | 24/7 @nausea89 · 45 subscribers
Post #427 14
ℹ️: Just some simple thoughts about the Lyman direction:

You're not going to hear many frontline updates on this channel, but I feel the need to share my opinion on the situation around Lyman because of how much noise it's creating. A lot of people are forgetting that Ukraine is a nation at total war which has committed 100% of its manpower and resources to the conflict whilst also receiving large amounts of aid from western countries. Russia, on the other hand, hasn't fully mobilized, and some of its vehicles and units are tied up in places far from Ukraine. Russia is also attacking against a highly urban and fortified country. Despite these disadvantages, the Russian army continues routinely advancing and gaining land because its artillery and air superiority is inflicting heavy attrition against Ukrainian forces. In some regions, however, the heavy attrition still isn't enough to hold onto territory. One of these areas is the northern-Sloviansk and Lyman direction. Russia is struggling to consolidate in this area because it's low on manpower whereas Ukraine has moved some of its most elite and well equipped units there. The manpower shortage can also be seen east of the Oskil river and south of Kupiansk where almost no Russian advances have been made all year. For Ukraine, the counteroffensive exposed Russia's lack of consolidation (especially on the northern flank of Lyman) and delayed the northern-Sloviansk offensive. For Russia, perhaps the operation will encourage a new wave of mobilization to fill the gaps along the frontline. A positive for the Russian side is that the retreat towards the Zherebets River was orderly in contrast to the 2022 Kharkiv withdrawal.
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