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Stacy in Dataland (´⊙~⊙`)

Stacy in Dataland (´⊙~⊙`)

@muur_posts

Stacy Muur’s alpha channel.
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Showing posts older than #3030 · Back to latest

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Post #3029 527
Post #3028 465
Balancer proposes orderly shutdown, plans to return $9M treasury to BAL holders – Link

Balancer put forward a governance proposal to wind down operations and return roughly $9M in treasury funds to BAL holders.

Legacy DeFi AMMs keep consolidating as volume declines and competition tightens.
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Post #3027 506
Bitget Wallet integrates Reality, adding 1,700+ tokenized US stocks/ETFs – Link

Bitget Wallet, which has 100M+ users, just launched Reality's rToken suite on Arbitrum and Morph. The rollout covers roughly 600 underlying US stocks and ETFs — about 95% of US equity trading volume — with each token backed 1:1 by shares held at FINRA-registered custodian Alpaca Securities.

This puts tokenized equities in front of a major self-custody wallet's user base and opens the door to using them as DeFi collateral.
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Post #3026 464
Broad targeting looks efficient until the churn hits

The spike in lost followers on 2 September lines up with the Broad targeting | Basic ad. The dashboard showed almost 200 new subscribers, but the channel only grew by 30 – then 86% of the subscribers acquired through broad targeting left within hours.

– Broad targeting | Basic follow CR: 3.7%
– MKT channels | Basic follow CR: 1%
– MKT businesses | Basic follow CR: 1.6%
– CTR: 14.42% vs 4.37%

In simple terms, the acquisition signal looked good on paper while the audience did not stick. That is the real problem this Telegram Ads test is pointing to.

Related read: Telegram Ads: Growth experiment that revealed a money farming machine
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Post #3025 550
Ethereum and Base abandon joint account-abstraction standard – Link

Ethereum L1 and Base ended their joint effort to unify account-abstraction and wallet standards. Ethereum is prioritizing censorship resistance and privacy, and Base is prioritizing compliance and scalability.

Wallet interoperability across L2s gets messier in the near term. Ethereum's core roadmap and its largest L2 by activity are pulling in different directions.
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Post #3024 530
Sky completes first $SKY token burn – Link

Sky burned 2.86 million $SKY tokens — its first burn ever. The funding came from 5% of the protocol's monthly net surplus.

Now revenue is directly tied to supply reduction. It's a small burn, but it sets a repeatable mechanism, and repeatable is what makes this kind of signal count over time.
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Post #3023 499
Grayscale files to convert Litecoin Trust into a spot ETF on NYSE Arca ($LTCN) – Link

Grayscale filed to convert its existing Litecoin Trust into a spot ETF under ticker LTCN, contingent on SEC approval of a pending 19b-4 application. This would be a conversion of an existing product rather than a new fund.

Matters because: approval would extend institutional product expansion into mid-cap altcoins, though it is not confirmed yet.
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Post #3022 486
Chatbot citations barely track organic rankings

The chart compares how often AI search systems cite pages that already rank in Google’s top 10. The overlap is still fairly high inside Google AI Overviews, but it drops hard once you move to chatbot search.

– Google AI Overviews: 76% overlap with the top 10 in one Ahrefs study; 38% in a later report
– ChatGPT / Gemini / Copilot: about 12%
– Perplexity: about 28.6%

So classic SEO still matters, but mostly inside Google’s own AI layer. Once the answer comes from a chatbot, ranking well on Google stops being a reliable proxy for citation visibility.

That split is the practical reason AEO/GEO is not just SEO with a new label.

Data source: Ahrefs

Related read: Are we optimising for the right engine? Insights from the latest SEO / AEO research
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Post #3021 472
Ethereum and Solana spot ETFs post four-week and multi-week net inflow streaks – Link

SoSoValue data shows Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $197M in net inflows last week, a fourth consecutive week of inflows, led by BlackRock's ETHA with $140M. Solana spot ETFs added $10.3M, led by Bitwise's BSOL.

Matters because: sustained inflows support continued institutional demand for ETH and SOL exposure even as spot prices have been volatile.
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Post #3020 484
Trump meets advisors on clarity act ethics provision ahead of key Senate vote – Link

President Trump met with advisors on a bipartisan government-ethics provision for the crypto market-structure bill (CLARITY Act). A critical Senate procedural vote is scheduled for next Tuesday.

Matters because: passage would create the first comprehensive U.S. market-structure framework for digital assets, while failure would keep regulatory ambiguity in place.
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Post #3019 516
Symbiosis Bitcoin bridge exploited via mint vulnerability, ≈$336K cashed out – Link

Blockaid found attackers exploited a vulnerability in Symbiosis's Bitcoin bridge, minting roughly 2^62 syBTC and converting a real ≈4.39 WBTC into about $336,000 via Uniswap V4. Symbiosis suspended BTC routing and recovered ≈15 BTC into a multisig.

• The protocol offered attackers a 20% whitehat bounty.
• The nominal ≈$46.1B syBTC figure was a display/overflow artifact.

Matters because: it is the third bridge-related mint exploit in recent weeks, reinforcing recurring supply-integrity failures in cross-chain bridges.
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Post #3018 495
Binance BTC reserves hit two-year high, adding supply pressure near $83K–$85K – Link

Lookonchain reports Binance's Bitcoin reserves climbed to ≈693,000 BTC, a two-year high and roughly 30% of all exchange-held BTC. The balance is up ≈77,000 coins since late April.

Matters because: rising exchange balances can signal incoming sell pressure, suggesting distribution risk is building near the $83K–$85K zone.
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Post #3017 586
Fed rate-hike odds surge to ≈85% after hot August CPI – Link

August core CPI rose 0.3% MoM, pushing CME FedWatch-implied odds of a September 16 Fed rate hike to roughly 85–86.5%. Bitcoin has been trading in a defensive $76,400–$78,200 range as markets price in tightening risk.

Matters because: a confirmed hike would raise leverage costs and could pressure risk assets broadly, though stalled U.S. Treasury bond buybacks could offset some of that over time.
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Post #3016 432
​Just dropped a research note on Telegram Ads.

Here’s your TL;DR ↓

– The experiment started with 7 ad creatives at 5 TON CPM and a 30 TON initial budget, aimed at finding the most efficient target clusters first.
– Telegram Ads is CPM-based, and channel owners get 50% of sponsored-message revenue – which makes high-volume delivery very attractive.
– Broad targeting looked strong on paper, but the data got weird fast: Telegram showed almost 200 new subscribers, while the channel grew by only 30.
– In the broad setup, 86% of the subscribers left within hours, so the platform still counted them as paid conversions.
– The author’s read: channel owners can watch when they’re targeted and spin up bot traffic to make the ad look better than it is.
– Even targeted-channel buys were not clean; some joiners looked fake, with “last seen” timestamps that did not fit normal human behavior.
– The practical takeaway is blunt: compare platform actions with net growth, check Joined/Left spikes, and use a separate invite link per ad.

Read the full story here: Telegram Ads: Growth experiment that revealed a money farming machine
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Post #3015 355

Forwarded from GTM in public

Margin notes on Fomo marketing (and what we can steal from their strat)

If I had to summarize their growth playbook in one line, it’d be this:

Visible PnL → audience attention → follows/referrals → more trading → affiliate commissions + leaderboard status → more visible PnL.


Their core innovation is packaging crypto’s existing watch smart wallets / copy KOLs behavior into a sexy consumer app with:

• 2-click onboarding
• public, live trading identities
• follower-growth incentives
• rank/status mechanics
• a very explicit revenue-share affiliate program

It’s the same playbook we saw with Kaito, Friend Tech, and others: marry KOLs, give them financial incentives to shill, and enjoy the ride.

The crucial social layer they added – and the one that actually lets them print – is Clans: every user account can become a mini media channel, and every trade can be a post, signal, or status update. The platform is also promoting top Clans, pushing KOL vs KOL competition even further.

That mechanic lined up perfectly with another round of memecoin trading activity (especially on the Robinhood chain) and a BTC micro rally. So while classic DeFi and serious RWA were still sleeping, Fomo quickly onboarded the most risk-averse gambler cohort in no time.

And yeah – 90% of users will end up at a loss. That’s classic memecoin reality. The important part: win or lose, users pay fees, and those fees go to the casino and its affiliates.

Still, Fomo was built by smart people who understand behavioral marketing. A few product design elements are worth learning from:

• Public profiles + PnL: makes success legible and shareable

• Follow + social feeds: turns trading activity into a recurring content stream

• Leaderboards: creates status competition and recurring reasons to check the app

• Trade theses + comments: turns a buy into a public narrative and debate

• Clans: creates group identity, rivalry, and collective recruiting

• Copy + discovery mechanics: shortens the path from observing someone to trading

• Multichain + embedded wallet + gas abstraction: converts attention before it decays

• Apple Pay onboarding: reduces the “I need a wallet, bridge, or gas token” abandonment funnel

Long story short:

1. They monetized KOLs, not just the traders
2. They turned CT screenshots into an in-app social graph
3. They optimized for conversion speed (wallet abstraction, cross-chain routing, gas sponsorship, and Apple Pay)
4. They designed status mechanics, not only trading mechanics
5. The market gave them a perfect narrative window

Result: $60M in fees at the time of writing.
Well done, Fomo.
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Post #3014 510
Centrifuge governance approves CFG-to-equity conversion (CP172) – Link

Centrifuge's governance proposal CP172 passed, authorizing conversion of the CFG token into tokenized equity at a 1:1 ratio via a restructuring into a Cayman Islands entity. The conversion is voluntary and legally guided by Ogier with support from Galaxy Digital Labs.

Matters because: This sets a notable structural precedent for RWA/DeFi tokens blurring the line between governance tokens and equity-like instruments.
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Post #3013 515
ECB hikes rates a second time as Iran war drives inflation – Link

The European Central Bank raised rates for the second time since the Iran conflict began in February, citing inflation signals still above the 2% target. The move adds to a hawkish global rate backdrop alongside softer-than-feared but still elevated U.S. core PPI.

Matters because: A tighter global policy backdrop can keep pressure on risk assets, including crypto, in the near term.
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Post #3012 564
SGX opens BTC/ETH perpetual futures to U.S. institutions – Link

The Singapore Exchange received CFTC authorization under Regulation 48.10 to let U.S. institutional investors trade its Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual futures. SGX's crypto perpetuals have processed $5.8B in cumulative volume since a November 2025 launch, with onboarding for U.S. clients expected within 1-2 months.

Matters because: This may deepen regulated institutional access to BTC/ETH derivatives and improve liquidity and price discovery over time.
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Post #3011 526
Telegram’s last seen field can expose bot traffic

This profile card is the useful part: a hidden mobile number, an ugly-looking account name, and a last seen stamp of 24/08/2026 at 07:48. The surrounding analysis uses that gap to argue for “action without presence” – a pattern that does not fit normal human behaviour.

The practical check is simple: compare new joins, last seen, and your channel’s net growth before trusting the ad platform’s conversion count. If those numbers do not line up, the campaign may be buying bot activity, not real subscribers.

That is the same distortion this Telegram Ads experiment is trying to pin down.

Data source: research.greendots.agency

Related read: Telegram Ads: Growth experiment that revealed a money farming machine
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Post #3010 511
Treasury yields near 5% ahead of pivotal CPI data and Sept. 16 Fed decision – Link

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward the psychologically important 5% level, its highest since 2007, amid a global bond selloff. Markets are pricing roughly a 58-70% chance of a Fed rate move at the Sept. 16 meeting after hot PPI data.

Matters because: Rising yields can compete with risk assets for capital and may pressure crypto valuations if the trend continues, even as some analysts argue Bitcoin is trading more like a fiscal-debasement hedge.
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