⚡️🇷🇺🇪🇺🇪🇺 — European intelligence chiefs are warning that Moscow is planning more decisive action against NATO, with one saying a potential attack could come in a matter of "months, not years," though Baltic officials caution that panic risks playing into the Kremlin's psy-ops, according to the Guardian.

➡️ Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk told parliament that intelligence assessments suggest Russia might launch an attack with drones or missiles on NATO territory in the coming months to prove that "Article 5 is more theoretical than practical." French President Emmanuel Macron called the warnings "sound and well-documented" and summoned party leaders and 2027 presidential candidates for an emergency meeting in Paris.

➡️ Michal Koudelka, head of the Czech Republic's BIS security service, said a small-scale invasion of NATO territory could be part of the Kremlin's plans: "It's possible. It could involve a limited incursion, false-flag provocations, a massive influence campaign." He said this scenario could play out in "months, not years" but added that "a lot of people are doing everything they can to make sure this doesn't happen."

➡️ Baltic officials have been more cautious. Normunds Mežviets, director general of Latvia's VDD, said: "We don't see indications of an imminent attack," conceding there were signs Moscow was preparing for more decisive action but that it was unclear whether the plans were concrete or part of a destabilization strategy. Estonia's foreign ministry secretary general Jonatan Vseviov decried "panic on social media," writing: "If there is reason to fear an attack, rest assured: we will make that clear. Until then, keep calm, carry on and support Ukraine."

➡️ Sweden's military intelligence chief Thomas Nilsson called the recent armed drone incident at Leipzig airport a "gamechanger," and said Russia is "playing negotiation theatre" with no serious consideration of real talks. Mežviets said Russia is moving from randomized sabotage toward specific targets linked to Western backing for Ukraine, including railway infrastructure and defense industry sites. Koudelka described the tactic as "escalate to de-escalate," with the Kremlin believing that if it escalates enough, European countries will decide not to support Ukraine.

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