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Formula Data Analysis Formula Data Analysis @fdataan · 4.09K subscribers
Post #2591 1.93K
My prediction was right: 2026 F1 cars will be WAY faster on the straights! 🚀

Esteban Ocon reached 355 km/h once he was allowed full deployment, and no evidence of slipstream!

In his best '25 quali lap, he reached 'just' 327km/h - and he mentioned reaching the top speed EARLIER on the straight in '26.

The drag drop is massive (-37%), even assuming the ’25 car was in full ERS harvest (–120 kW), to be subtracted from ~615 kW ICE power (~840 hp). The ’26 car was +28 km/h faster despite a ≥95 kW (130 hp) power deficit.

Back in December, I predicted CxA = 0.66 → 359 km/h top speed, very close to real data (355 km/h → 0.68).

💡At least one (likely both) is true:
- The new cars have extremely low drag.
- Ferrari's new ICE is stronger than F1 predicted (400kW).

What’s certain: these cars will fly on the straights - and Catalunya isn’t even low-drag!

[CxA from drag POWER: 0.5ρCxAv^3 = ICEpower@vMax, ρ≈1.22]
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