Europe's climate monitor said Thursday that August was the hottest month ever recorded around the world and warned of worse to come as an unprecedented El Niño pattern grows stronger.

Global temperatures over land and sea soared to all-time highs in August and capped an extreme summer of heat waves and wildfires that ranked as the hottest on record for western Europe and the contiguous United States.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service said global average air temperatures in August were 16.96°C (62.5°F)—surpassing the previous record for a single month, set in July 2023, by 0.01°C. The EU monitor said it considered the two months joint-highest given the narrow difference.

Copernicus observations go back to 1940, but evidence from ice cores, tree rings and coral skeletons puts today's climate in a much starker historical context.

"Humans haven't seen temperatures as hot as today for, arguably, at least the last 100,000 years," Samantha Burgess from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which oversees Copernicus, told AFP.

U.N. climate chief Simon Stiell said the "evidence is irrefutable: this is the spiraling price of humanity's fossil fuel addiction."

Striking
The exceptional summer also drove ocean temperatures to record highs for three straight months, said Simon van Gennip from Mercator Ocean International on Thursday.

Marine heat waves have persisted in some overheated basins for more than 60 days, "highlighting just how unusual and persistent" the situation was, he said.

Global sea surface temperatures set a new all-time daily high in August and equaled the hottest month for oceans ever recorded.

Copernicus said the main driver was global heating from burning coal, oil and gas, but also sharply rising temperatures in the Pacific, where a historic El Niño is gaining strength.

El Niño episodes are characterized by unusually warm Pacific waters but trigger major global changes in rainfall and winds, raising the odds of wild weather thousands of miles away.

Global forecasters predict this year's event will peak later this year at an intensity never observed in the modern era.

On Thursday, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said there was a 75% chance it "would exceed the strength of previous El Niño events dating back to 1950."

Copernicus said its influence was already being felt in Indonesia, where a long, intense dry season has fed wildfires that have torched swaths of Borneo island.

But climate scientists said the worst was yet to come—and August's extraordinary heat was just a preview