Foreign direct investment could decline, sovereign credit risks could increase, and Riyadh could be forced to redirect enormous amounts of capital away from Vision 2030 projects toward emergency security and defense requirements.

This is where Saudi Arabia faces its most serious strategic dilemma. A state can absorb a military strike, but repeatedly exposing the foundations of its economic system to disruption is a completely different matter. If the energy sector becomes a recurring target and the Kingdom cannot establish a reliable deterrent or political settlement, every additional strike can create cumulative economic pressure. The result would be a vicious cycle in which more resources are diverted toward defense, less capital is available for economic diversification, investor confidence weakens, and the very economic transformation Saudi Arabia is trying to achieve becomes more difficult.

The Saudis may have believed that Yemen could once again be pressured through military force, sectarian propaganda, and economic punishment. But Yemen today is not the Yemen of a decade ago, and AnsarAllah is not the same movement it was when the previous war began. The balance of capabilities, experience, geography, and political awareness has changed. If Riyadh continues to underestimate these realities, it may discover that the cost of the war is not measured only by missiles intercepted or facilities damaged. It will ultimately be measured by the resilience of the Saudi economy itself.

🌟@enemywatch