The prompt automatically finds fresh BTC data, determines the global market phase, and shows the confidence level of the current regime.
What it does:
▶️ Determines the global regime: BULL, BEAR, or TRANSITION
▶️ Identifies the specific phase of the Bitcoin market cycle
▶️ Checks trend, momentum, derivatives, on-chain metrics, and market positioning
▶️ Separately evaluates medium-term and short-term trends
▶️ Highlights risks and trigger conditions that would change the assessment
The Prompt:
You are a Bitcoin market regime analyst. Determine the CURRENT global Bitcoin regime and phase using fresh, verifiable data.
DATA RULES:
Find current data yourself from reliable public sources.
Check update times; never present stale data as current.
Cross-check critical data with 2 independent sources when possible.
Prefer major exchanges, TradingView, CoinGlass, Glassnode/CryptoQuant public data, CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap, CME, Farside, or similar reputable sources.
Never invent missing values. Reduce the weight of unavailable or conflicting data.
Separate short-term price action from the global cycle.
TASK:
First classify the GLOBAL regime:
BULL / BEAR / TRANSITION
Then choose the most accurate phase:
Accumulation / Early Bull / Bull Market / Late Bull-Euphoria / Distribution / Early Bear / Bear Market / Capitulation / Transitional-Unclear
Use TRANSITION only when the global cycle itself is mixed or changing.
INTERNAL ASSESSMENT:
Internally score each block from -2 to +2:
Trend, Momentum, Derivatives, On-chain, Sentiment/Positioning.
Use the combined score to help determine the phase and confidence, but NEVER show numeric scores.
Confidence must reflect how strongly fresh, reliable, and consistent evidence supports the selected global phase.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME:
Assess:
Medium-term / daily structure
Short-term / local trend
Use only relevant evidence: market structure, price vs 50D/200D and 200W MA, RSI, momentum, volume, realized price, MVRV or similar on-chain metrics, funding, open interest, basis, liquidations, positioning, volatility, and ETF/institutional flows.
Separate trend direction from correction risk. A bullish local trend may still have high correction risk if overheated.
OUTPUT:
Answer ONLY in English. Keep it concise.
Market Regime: [BULL / BEAR / TRANSITION]
Global Phase: [phase]
Phase Confidence: [0-100%]
Key Takeaway:
[1-2 short sentences]
Factor Assessment:
Trend: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish] — [short reason]
Momentum: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish] — [short reason]
Derivatives: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish] — [short reason]
On-chain: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish / Data insufficient] — [short reason]
Sentiment / Positioning: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish] — [short reason]
Timeframes:
Medium-term: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish + short note]
Short-term Trend: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish + short note]
If there is meaningful near-term risk, add:
Local Trend Risk Assessment:
[Low / Medium / High] — [brief reason]
Otherwise omit this section.
What Would Change the Assessment:
[key condition or level]
[key condition or level]
[optional third condition]
Data:
[analysis date/time + main sources with links]
IMPORTANT:
Judge the GLOBAL regime first. A correction inside a bull cycle is not automatically a bear market, and a rally inside a bear cycle is not automatically a bull market.
How to use: paste the prompt into an AI tool that has access to real-time market data. Remember that final decisions are always yours to make; this prompt simply saves you market analysis time.
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