Let’s be real: the only reason 99% of traders are expecting another BTC drop this year is because in previous cycles it fell much harder from its peak. For bottom-catchers looking to go all-in, the current drawdown of just over 50% feels like a light correction.
Here’s the reality:
🔵 BTC drawdowns from peak are shrinking with every cycle — shoutout to everyone who was waiting for $10k BTC in autumn 2022. The crypto market has fundamentally changed since 2021, and expecting history to repeat itself word-for-word is a losing strategy.
🔵 BTC is holding above $60k despite the escalation in the Middle East, simply because whales are already accumulating for the next bull run. Yes, they have orders down to $48k, but those are meant for dollar-cost averaging, not a bet on a complete collapse.
🔵 A new BTC bottom is still on the table, but it needs a major catalyst: an S&P 500 crash, the total destruction of Middle Eastern oil infrastructure, Saylor going bankrupt, or another "orange swan" event 🇺🇸
A long-term BTC investor should already be in position because the market bottom is forming right now. The odds that the market gives a better entry price are 50/50, and that’s exactly how the whales are playing it.
And if you’re still wondering when to exit BTC, CZ already gave the answer:
People buy Bitcoin and ask, "When do you exit?" You don’t exit the internet. You don’t exit AI. 💸