> BETTER UPDATES

Finished the report with Australia's cybercrime devision. Others are encouraged to submit reports with the attached information to their local authorities if they can make the time.

> BETTER UPDATES pinned a photo

Polymarket has made some updates regarding their 5-minute crypto markets. Starting Friday, August 14 at 00:00 UTC, these markets will move from a 30-second to a 60-second TWAP window.

In light of this update, Ankit and Ary are currently pedal to the metal making adjustments to our custom oracle feeds for all future vaults and trading models for the long term sustainability and profitability of the vaults and token's ecosystem.


https://x.com/polymarketdevs/status/2087715168566563248?s=46

Community Update From Ary💙

A good day in the office for the vault strategy.

Up +$800 ish USD today, marking 5.7% realised PnL in 13 days.

That's $1429.57 of fee adjusted profits on the $25k planned vault portfolio. Sitting on a 70.9% winrate from over 20,000 potential entries scanned and 55 positions taken.

This is THE strategy the vault will use. You get to tell all your friends "I told you so" as a bonus.

Alt season?

No. Respectfully it's #BETTERSZN

54 hours of no trading from our premiering beta vault strategy.

No edge? No trade.

In the last two hours however, 7 of 8 trades taken closed positive.

That's now 3.38% realized PnL on the 25k vault cap that would have occured in circa 12 days.

Your move, bear market ;)

Just shy of 3% realised PnL on 25k USD in four days of trading. Can't wait to see her live premiering in the first beta vault.

For a clean slate, the strategy premiering on this first vault was reset in live sim testing with a $25,000 portfolio, identical to launch.

It was reset when the staking was originally planned to air, and has since returned 1.6% in realised PnL in 2 days.

> BETTER UPDATES pinned a file

update (1).pdf

This is a passive market making strategy we have run assuming the worst case scenario on every single order submitted since the 16th of June.

What this actually tells us:

• when you submit a maker order on Polymarket, you are placed in a 'tape queue'

• we assumed for extreme sake that only 2.2% of our orders filled at the price we desired to begin with, and that the market hates us such that we place DEAD LAST in every 'tape queue'

This is $94.30 on a $2500 sample portfolio.
3.772% returns in a month.

Meh. Alright but nothing to celebrate right?

Dead wrong.

Annualised (as per our TRUE orderbook data history we collect), and to be realistic with 14.74% of our orders being filled by the ACTUAL market (not our extremely pessimistic stress testing of 2.2% fill rate):

that turns into a -

*drumroll please*....

57.4% annualised yield.

We simulate the worst of the worst such that we can underpromise and over-deliver.

More than happy to answer questions, but if you feed this into an AI of your choice it may also do the same.

On the X Verfication hiccup:

We are so back.

Along with accompanied verification of the initial live funds testing:

A Development Update from the BETTER Team💙