Asymmetrical Upside

Asymmetrical Upside — September Performance Update

A little later than planned, we are publishing the Asymmetrical Upside strategy results for September.

September: −0.67%

Following a strong August (+15.55%), September ended with a modest negative return. The cumulative result since the strategy's launch through the end of September stands at +11.45%.

Monthly performance:
• July: −2.90%
• August: +15.55%
• September: −0.67%
• Since inception: +11.45%

As before, these are actual live trading results from a real account, independently verifiable through TradeLink — not a backtest or simulated performance.

Verified track record:
https://tradelink.pro/portfolio/6b9ae8ec-647f-4dbd-a7f2-db31ffa6b4d9

More about the strategy:
https://asymmetricalupside.com/au

We continue to follow the original strategy framework and evaluate its performance over a sufficiently long horizon rather than focusing on any single month.

Asymmetrical Upside — performance and discussion recap

Nikolai and I reviewed the strategy’s first two months of live trading, its behaviour across market conditions, and the practical details of connecting an account.

Performance based on our internal reporting:

• July: −2.9%
• August: +15.55%
• Since the July 1 launch through the end of August: +12.2%

These are actual, verifiable trading results. The account is connected to independent monitoring through TradeLink. Its figures may differ slightly from our internal reporting because of calculation methods, as discussed during the session.

Key takeaways

• The strategy follows trends in both directions. The algorithms take long and short positions, mainly in BTC and ETH, across several timeframes. Prolonged sideways markets with frequent reversals are the main challenge. These conditions explain July’s loss; August’s directional move generated most of the gains.

• Returns are uneven over time. Strong months can be followed by flat periods and drawdowns. The objective is to control losses in unfavourable conditions while retaining the ability to capture the next trend.

• Hedging is selective. At the time of the session, the strategy was running at reduced risk without an options hedge. Hedging was used in July and may be reintroduced, including to protect accumulated gains. That protection also carries a cost.

• Backtests and live performance are separate records. This version’s public live track record begins on July 1. We discussed out-of-sample testing, Monte Carlo analysis, and allowances for fees, slippage and funding. Historical tests help assess the approach; further conclusions will depend on live results.

• Accounts connect through an API. Funds remain in each participant’s own exchange account. We discussed a 30% performance fee, monthly settlement, and the exchange risks that remain regardless of the trading algorithm.

What comes next

We discussed the possibility of a new upward market cycle as a working hypothesis. We also plan a separate public track record for a version using crypto collateral, including BTC and ETH, which adds exposure to changes in the collateral’s value.

The first two months have shown how the strategy behaves in different market conditions. We will continue building the live track record and discussing it openly. The next session will review September’s results.

[Live results on TradeLink] · [About the strategy

For questions about the strategy or connecting an account, please message me directly.

Video (RU only): https://youtu.be/Rz9h2_nIbgg

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Asymmetrical Upside — результаты стратегии за июль и август

Публикуем первые результаты стратегии Asymmetrical Upside на реальном счёте:

• Июль: −2,9%
• Август: +15,55%
• Совокупная доходность с момента запуска по 31 августа: +12,2%

Для нас принципиально важно показывать не расчётный backtest и не модельную доходность, а реальные и независимо верифицируемые результаты торговли.

Полная статистика счёта доступна на TradeLink

Подробнее о стратегии:
https://asymmetricalupside.com/ru/au

В понедельник, 7 сентября, в 12:00 по московскому времени проведём открытое обсуждение / вебинар, посвящённый Asymmetrical Upside.

Разберём логику стратегии, результаты первых месяцев работы на реальном счёте, управление риском и ответим на вопросы.

Ссылку на вебинар опубликуем отдельно.**Asymmetrical Upside — July & August Performance Update**


We are publishing the first live-account results of the Asymmetrical Upside strategy:

• July: −2.9%
• August: +15.55%
• Cumulative return since launch through August 31: +12.2%

An important principle for us is transparency: these are actual live trading results, independently verifiable, rather than a backtest or simulated performance.

The full account track record is available on TradeLink

More about the strategy:
https://asymmetricalupside.com/au

On Monday, September 7, at 12:00 Moscow time, we will host an open discussion / webinar dedicated to Asymmetrical Upside.

We will cover the strategy framework, the first months of live performance, our approach to risk management, and answer questions.

The webinar link will be shared separately.

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