🚢 US NAVAL BLOCKADE OF IRAN — still standing on Sep 30?

For nearly six months, US warships have sealed off Iran's ports. Trump says it stays "in full force until a Final Deal is reached." Iran remains defiant, the Strait stays contested — but a ceasefire framework is suddenly on the table, with a clause to lift the blockade within 30 days of signing.

Does it hold to month's end, or does the deal pull it down first? It all comes down to timing.

The room's split down the middle: does the blockade survive through September 30?

⏳ Betting closes Sep 16, 01:30 UTC.
📊 Settled on official US government statements.

Blockade holds, or deal lands first? 👇 toncast.me/app/event/EQC8m_p_8N5kR9l7ABVIob4j763FQeLL9stU7hwGnCCjCbT4/en