i don’t think the next phase of prediction markets that win will become a place to bet on everything.

that feels too broad and we will have to take into account the context

world cup season is actually a good starting point because sports already has attention, emotion, disagreement and real-time info flow.

that’s where i believe prediction markets make the most sense.

but what caught my attention is the combination of design underneath

- AI-native markets
- productive capital
- onchain settlement
- real-time information pricing

that combination is more interesting than a normal prediction market.

- because the big problem with most prediction markets is capital efficiency
- you take a view, your funds sit there, and you wait for resolution
- that works best for simple speculation, but it at this point, it wont be financilized

so if @InsightXHQ can turn prediction positions into productive capital while using AI agents to help price, route, and react to information faster, then we should see prediction market going well with the InfoFi infrastructure on @Mantle_Official

beyond just betting

Mantle is already pushing into DeFi, AI, yield, and consumer apps.

i think that prediction markets are still early and most frontends are not good enough yet.

but the winning ones will be verticalized, contextual, fast, and embedded where attention already exists.

world cup is a good test.

we're not the endgame yet.

https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/2066906097408262654