there is a billion dollar opportunity in creating a token standard for prediction market positions that plugs into DeFi liquidity pools and enables lending/borrowing against PM shares

the core problem: PM positions go to zero at resolution so no lender touches them. a standard that wraps positions with risk metadata (probability, time to resolution, volatility) lets lending protocols price binary risk dynamically instead of avoiding it

connect this to the wave of prop firms emerging to fund PM traders

a lot of them will need infrastructure to extend capital against trader portfolios and manage binary resolution risk at scale

that infrastructure doesn't exist yet and the demand side is already forming. the supply side is wide open.

putting this out there for whoever wants to build it

https://x.com/thenarrator/status/2062590390469800125