for anyone building in prediction markets right now:

1/ stop trying to out-polymarket polymarket. build something they can’t or won’t build

2/ ship ugly and fast. 3 weeks with real users beats 6 months perfecting a UI nobody trades on

3/ the bear sentiment is your friend. the teams quitting now are freeing up space for the ones that stay

4/ talk to traders not other founders. the telegram groups where actual PM traders complain about what’s broken is your roadmap

5/ pick one user type and obsess. the platform for everyone is the platform for no one

charge something from day one and see who’s ready to pay (much more important than hundreds or thousands of testnet users)

https://x.com/thenarrator/status/2060580001762754718