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Threading on the Edge Threading on the Edge @threadingontheedge · 7.76K subscribers
Post #4312 506
I took Karpathy's Autoresearch concept and adapted it into AutoPredict: a research framework for evaluating, backtesting, and iteratively improving prediction market trading agents

AutoPredict evaluates agents on
- forecast quality
- calibration
- execution (slippage, liquidity, and fills)
- drawdown and risk adjusted returns

It also supports domain specialists for weather, finance, and politics under a shared evaluation harness

This framework is NOT for building agents but for agent improvement via a evaluation + mutation + selection loop

https://x.com/howdymerry/status/2037683950085378240
X (formerly Twitter) mary (@howdymary) on X I took Karpathy's Autoresearch concept and adapted it into AutoPredict: a research framework for evaluating, backtesting, and iteratively improving prediction market trading agents AutoPredict evaluates agents on - forecast quality - calibration - execution…
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