The REAL state that we are in
I am going to breakdown the REAL STATE of the economy we are in. If you have been catching up with the previous macro pulses, it should give you a hint.
Its AI and AI is the only engine still pulling GDP forward.
Everything else like labor markets, households, affordability, asset access is sliding downhill.
Everyone keeps waiting for the “cycle turn.” There is no cycle.
Here’s the truth:
- Markets don’t trade fundamentals now.
- AI capex is literally the thing preventing a technical recession.
- 2026 is setting up for a liquidity wave that consensus hasn’t even started pricing.
- Inequality is a macro headwind that forces policy.
- The bottleneck for AI isn’t GPUs. It’s energy.
- Crypto is becoming the only asset class with real upside for younger cohorts, which makes it politically relevant.
- Don’t make the mistake by misdiagnosing this transition risk and allocating into the wrong side of the game.
Twitter: https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/1995053032384639299
FULL Article: https://threadingontheedge.substack.com/p/the-real-state-that-we-are-in
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