📊 A PoderData/Aya poll released on Tuesday shows a virtual tie for the October 25 runoff election: Lula has 49% of the valid votes, compared to 51% for the Liberal Party senator—a two-point difference that falls within the margin of error of 1.8 points. The poll was conducted between October 10 and 12, with 3,000 telephone interviews in 686 municipalities.

🇧🇷 Compared to the October 8 poll, Lula gained two points and Flávio lost the same amount, narrowing the gap from six to two points in five days. In the first round on October 4, the senator received 47.03% of valid votes, compared to 45.16% for the head of state.

📉 The poll also showed that Lula leads among women with 53% of the vote, while Bolsonaro’s strongest support is concentrated in the South (61%) and Central-West (55%) regions.