WEEKLY OUTLOOK
DECEMBER 9 TO DECEMBER 15 2025

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🌍 GLOBAL THEMES
• FOMC week: 25bps cut expected with hawkish tone, focus on Economic Projections, dissents, and Powell’s press conference
• Fed leadership transition risk: Kevin Hassett viewed as frontrunner for next Fed Chair, potentially reducing Powell’s influence
• U.S. labor data returns: ADP + JOLTS after prolonged blackout
• Bitcoin divergence: BTC set for first yearly decouple from equities in a decade
• China extends gold-reserve buying streak (13th month)
• Major AI catalyzer: OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 “code red” response to Google expected this week
• Apple facing largest internal leadership shake-up in decades
• Global crypto events intensify: Solana Breakpoint, major corporate treasury flows, Do Kwon sentencing
• Macro risk sentiment shifts around geopolitics & U.S. national-security strategy changes

TBA THIS WEEK
• OpenAI GPT-5.2 announcement
• U.S. market reaction to new national-security strategy (NATO posture shift)
• Apple chip-division transition developments
• China macro & gold-purchase updates
• Continued institutional commentary on MicroStrategy benchmark-exclusion risk
• Quantum-computing discourse (CRQC timelines from ARK Invest & a16z)

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📅 MONDAY DECEMBER 9
• Michael Saylor expected to announce a new initiative (“green dots” teaser)
• Market positioning ahead of FOMC
• China gold-reserve commentary continues gaining traction

📅 TUESDAY DECEMBER 10
• Twenty One (XXI) begins trading with more than 42k BTC (third-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury)
• U.S. ADP Employment
• U.S. JOLTS Job Openings
• JPM + Cantor commentary on MicroStrategy continues to drive sentiment

📅 WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 11
• FOMC rate decision: expected hawkish 25bps cut
• Powell press conference + Economic Projections
• Fed dissent tracker heavily watched
• Oracle Earnings
• Apple internal restructuring updates expected across the day

📅 THURSDAY DECEMBER 12
• Solana Breakpoint 2025 (Dec 11–13)
• Do Kwon sentencing
• U.S. macro follow-through after FOMC tone
• AI headlines (GPT-5.2) increasingly likely

📅 FRIDAY DECEMBER 13
• Market digestion of FOMC reaction
• Crypto market volatility window from Breakpoint announcements
• Global macro quiet but equity rotation themes developing (tech vs. defensives)