A Polymarket price is not a price. It's a probability 🤝

YES at $0.63 means the market collectively thinks there's a 63% chance the thing happens. You're not buying a share of anything — you're buying a claim that pays exactly $1 if you're right and $0 if you're not.

Which means your entire job is one comparison: is the real probability higher than the number on the screen?

If yes, you have an edge. If no, you have a hobby.