Haaretz: With Trump in and Gallant Out, Netanyahu Is Left With Few Constraints

Trump's record on Israel is more mixed than people tend to recall. This means praise and flattery are somewhat premature. Trump will put his own interests first, and they won't necessarily always be aligned with the expectations of Netanyahu's coalition

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu estimated, hoped and believed that this would be the outcome – a sweeping victory for Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election. The consequences are likely to be complex, even partly contradictory. Trump has always been a riddle wrapped in an enigma: capricious, self-driven and unpredictable. His second administration will probably be a more extreme version of his first term as president. Unlike eight years ago, this time, there are no checks and balances – and almost without being surrounded by retired generals with a vain belief in their ability to control him.

There's no point in betting on the foreign policy of the next president. It's too soon. Many of those close to him, such as former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, are supporters of Israel and fans of Netanyahu in particular. But during Trump's first term, there was a mix of contradictory foundations in the administration's foreign policy.

He signaled a message of isolationism, sharp reservations about American investment in defending allies and an unwillingness to get involved in more unnecessary wars. On the other hand, Trump bought Netanyahu's arguments and withdrew from the nuclear agreement with Iran in a way that brought the regime in Tehran to its closest point toward creating a bomb ever.

...Trump has often publicly expressed solidarity with Israel over the years and, for the most part, personal empathy for Netanyahu.

...Another obstacle that was removed from Netanyahu's path on Tuesday is Gallant. His previous dismissal in March was Netanyahu's response to the defense minister's warnings about the damage being caused by the judicial overhaul to the operational fitness of the military. The prime minister was forced to change his mind when confronted by a massive public protest. That's not the case this time. Although there were large demonstrations again, it's clear that there's not enough wind in the sails of the protest movement...

There is no risk that Yisrael Katz, in his role as Gallant's replacement, will disrupt Netanyahu's far-reaching plans. Katz won't lend support to Chief of Staff Lt. Herzi Halevi, senior Israel Defense Force officers or the head of the Shin Bet security service, Ronen Bar when Netanyahu continues in his efforts to devolve full responsibility for the failure to prevent the October 7 massacre on them.

🔗SOURCE ➡️ Haaretz

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