Israel Probes Polymarket Trader Who Forecast Start Of Iran War

Donald Trump’s son currently serves in an advisory role at Polymarket, while Trump himself has twice blocked investigations into the platform

Israeli police have opened an investigation into a Polymarket account that accurately forecast the 28 February US-Israeli strikes on Iran, Channel 12 reported on 2 March, as scrutiny intensifies over possible insider knowledge of military operations in the prediction market platform.

The Polymarket user, under the name “Magamyman,” reportedly earned about $430,000 by predicting that the US would strike Iran on 28 February.

According to Globes, roughly $529 million was bet on when the war would begin, with $90 million riding on 28 February.

Polymarket, a US-based gambling platform, operates with limited regulatory oversight, permitting bets on anything from sports events to weather changes to election results and war outbreaks.

Israeli police have now opened a criminal investigation into user Magamyman who bet on Iran strikes. Notably authorities in Israel have launched the only known prosecution of Polymarket traders https://t.co/pK3oNKIm6T

🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle

Related: 3/2 — It Appears That A Polymarket Account Called "Magamyman" Made $515,000 In A Single Day Betting On Last Night's U.S. Strike On Iran, With The First Trade Placed 71 Minutes Before The News Broke Publicly.

1/3 — 🇺🇸🇻🇪 An account on Polymarket won $400,000 after betting on Maduro's capture just hours before it happened.

12/30/25 — Tim Pool Exposed As Another Node In The Polymarket Influence Network Attacking Candace Owens Or Skeptics Of The Official Charlie Kirk Assassination Narrative

12/1/25 — This Is Very Suspicious. The Betting Website Polymarket Tends To Be Very Accurate In Predicting Election Outcomes.

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