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Predictore Predictore @predictorev · 18 subscribers
Post #114 13
New market that perfectly captures how weird this cycle has become:

Will Donald Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz to “Strait of Trump” by May 31?

In normal times this would be a meme with 0% probability. But right now, with escalating tensions even absurd scenarios start getting priced.

Current odds? Around 5% - basically “unlikely,” but definitely not zero.
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