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Post #295 1
🐋 Abraxas-linked wallets are short $1.58B of BTC and ETH on Hyperliquid — and they're bleeding

Two Hyperliquid wallets that Nansen and Arkham tag as Abraxas Capital Management are carrying a combined $1.58 billion net short, and BTC plus ETH are the fattest part of the book. At 2:55 p.m. ET on Oct. 6, 2026 the pair was down about $114.5 million on paper — and still holding. The London firm behind them manages billions, so this isn't some degen who gets flushed on the next wick. Someone with real size is leaning against the tape, in public, where the whole chat can watch.

▪️ Hyperbot's X account flagged the two addresses on Monday; onchain explorers Nansen and Arkham label them Abraxas Capital Mgmt (Heka Funds).
▪️ The BTC and ETH legs alone: 5,120 BTC and 189,400 ETH, roughly $948 million notional, per hypurrscan.io data.
▪️ It's not a two-coin bet — the same wallets are short SOL, HYPE, ENA, XRP, SUI and PUMP. That's a whole-portfolio bearish tilt, not one punt.
▪️ Both addresses logged millions in deposits and hold spot that can offset the shorts, so the perp book alone isn't their net exposure.
▪️ Bitcoin twice tagged $86,000 on Tuesday, helped by the CFTC's proposed crypto rules and fresh SEC news — the tape is not cooperating with the short.

📊 Combined net short: $1.58B
📊 BTC + ETH leg: ~$948M
📊 Paper loss at snapshot: ~$114.5M
📊 ETH short: 189,400 ETH

For retail this is less a signal than a mirror: a whale book this visible drags crowd psychology around, and whales know exactly that — being this loud is itself part of the trade. It can just as easily be a hedge or provisioning for a multi-billion spot book as it is insider conviction, and nobody outside Abraxas can tell you which. What matters is the boxes: the positions stay open, they can flip fast, and if BTC keeps hammering $86,000 while ETH follows, that $114.5 million hole gets deeper and the crowd starts asking who's actually wrong. And when the crowd asks that question, the answer is usually whoever has more money to prove it.


💬 «Spot holdings may offset these shorts, so the positions alone do not establish the wallets' net market exposure.» — Hyperbot

🔮 A $114.5M paper hole and they keep holding. Either Abraxas knows something, or we're all reading a hedge like it's prophecy.

@mxcenglish
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