⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸 — Despite the US naval blockade, at least eight tankers carrying Iranian LPG left the Gulf of Oman since mid-July, and one jet fuel vessel reached Myanmar in September, per UANI and SynMax. Maritime-security sources told Reuters that Tehran concealed cargoes among growing STS transfers by other Gulf producers off Oman.

➡️ UANI analyst Jemima Shelley estimated 4.1 million barrels of LPG shipped via STS near Shinas/Sohar or past the blockade near the Iran–Pakistan border, mostly via Malaysia’s Eastern Outer Port Limits, likely destined for China. Six LPG tankers and the jet fuel vessel were US-sanctioned. Shelley described this as opportunistic, noting US forces redirected most Iranian tankers.

➡️ A US military official stated passage does not prove evasion; vessels are assessed individually via document checks, with some allowed for humanitarian reasons or monitored without intervention. CENTCOM reported disabling four commercial vessels and turning back 135 over the preceding three months (as of Oct 13).

➡️ With no easing of the blockade, Verisk Maplecroft analyst Torbjorn Soltvedt warned worsening Iranian economic conditions could increase risk-taking. Jet fuel offers an outlet amid aviation sanctions and refinery surpluses. Kpler recorded zero Iranian crude shipments in September, the first since 2013, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the blockade prevented most Chinese purchases and blocked delivery to other customers.

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