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MaxOsint Intel MaxOsint Intel @maxosintintel · 8.67K subscribers
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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷 — US military strike packages against Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear sites (including Pickaxe Mountain) are prepared, incorporating the potential use of the 21,600-pound MOAB under Trump's orders, should he resume combat operations before or after the midterms. Despite public pledges of no action, White House advisers remain uncertain; strikes could precede a victory declaration and rapid US withdrawal. — CNN

➡️ First use of the GPS-guided MOAB—the largest non-nuclear US bomb—would mark a major escalation, but sources doubt its effectiveness against granite-fortified targets: as an air-burst weapon originally developed during the Iraq War to shock troops into surrender, it detonates above ground and cannot penetrate deeply, serving instead a psychological purpose while its 9-city-block blast radius raises civilian casualty concerns.

First deployed by Trump against ISIS in 2017, officials question the lack of a viable end-war strategy, describing the options as a "fireworks show" to provide Trump an off-ramp.

➡️ A decisive victory would require a major ground operation that no one currently advocates. The Pentagon is preparing for Iranian retaliation, while upcoming CENTCOM rotations may not replace all departing personnel.

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