🇮🇱l🇱🇧 FDD's analysts are melting over the ceasefire, saying the deal is catastrophic for Israel
Regarding the question if Netanyahu is taking a break for two months waiting for Trump, David Daoud says:
- I'm not convinced that, after two months of quiet, a PM as unpopular and distrusted as Netanyahu will have the domestic legitimacy to restart a war against Hezbullah, which will have had 60 days to lick its wounds and better prepare for the next phase of fighting
- The more details emerge, the more it becomes obvious this is a terrible ceasefire deal. It takes the situation back to the status quo ante while only giving the appearance of tightening the screws on Hezbullah -- in which case, this is the Resolution 1701 redux.
- PM Netanyahu's domestic legitimacy is battered. It's not unforeseeable that protests against him will intensify the day a ceasefire goes into effect, especially when he's agreeing to a deal that has little popularity w/the Israeli public and has failed to return hostages. To the extent the Israeli public gave Netanyahu any grace, it was borne out of necessity to prosecute this multi front war. That excuse is gone.
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