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Pascal Najadi Pascal Najadi @impascalnajadi · 12.2K subscribers
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Folks we are entering an incredibly intense 48-hour window where the market cycle of stagnation could completely break.

The immediate fate of XRP's price floor relies on two major back-to-back events happening this week:

The Senate CLARITY Act vote on Tuesday, September 15, and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday, September 16.

🏛️ Catalyst 1:
The Tuesday Senate Cloture Vote
Right now, Senate Majority Leader John Thune is bringing the CLARITY Act to a major procedural hurdle called a "cloture vote".

The Goal:
Republicans just released a final 635-page proposal. To bypass a filibuster and move the bill forward, they need 60 votes. Since there are 53 Republicans, they must convince at least 7 Democrats to cross party lines and vote "yes".

The Drama:
The main sticking point has been severe friction over ethics rules regarding President Trump's personal crypto ventures.

Late Sunday night, a massive breakthrough occurred: 🔴
Trump agreed to "about 80%" of a bipartisan ethics proposal to divest or blind-trust significant crypto holdings.

Furthermore, the National Sheriffs' Association unexpectedly dropped its long-held opposition to the bill.

The Reality Check:
Even though this compromise heavily favors a "yes" vote, prediction markets like Polymarket only give the bill an 18% chance of fully passing into law before the year ends. This is because the House of Representatives is scheduled to go on recess just two days after this vote, leaving a razor-thin timeline before the November midterms.

🦅 Catalyst 2:
The Wednesday Fed Rate Shock
Less than 24 hours after the Senate vote, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The market just received a massive shock here.

The Surprise:
Up until last week, most investors assumed the Fed would keep rates paused. However, fresh, stubborn inflation data just dropped.

The Outlook: Wall Street economists surveyed have aggressively shifted their projection, that there is now an 85% to 90% expectation that the Fed will raise interest rates by 0.25% to a target of 3.75%–4.00%. This would be the first rate hike under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Higher interest rates generally pull cash out of crypto and into safe bonds, creating a heavy gravity macro environment.

Is this market manipulation happening by these so called "economists" and will Kevin surprise them all with a rate decrease.

Only time will tell!

Buckle up! 💪🎢

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