Glassnode

A Market in Repair

$BTC fell to nearly $60K as losses mounted and recent buyers came under pressure. Yet improving liquidity, stronger passive bids, and patient ETF holders suggest the market may be building a floor.

Read the full Week On-Chain👇

$BTC rebounded from a low near $60K as selling pressure eased and options markets unwound fear. With volume, open interest, and capital flows still weak, the move looks more like stabilization than a confirmed reversal.

Read this week’s Market Pulse👇

The Accumulation Trend Score measures the relative size of entities actively adding to their holdings on-chain, combining balance size with recent balance change. Values near 1 indicate broad accumulation; near 0, distribution.

As price pushed into the $60k zone in early June, the aggregate score began shifting toward accumulation across cohorts. The structure is consistent with a broad buy-the-dip response, where falling prices are met with increasing on-chain demand rather than continued selling.

📉 http://glassno.de/btc-ats-cohort

The recent $BTC correction appears to have attracted buyers back into the market.

Accumulation Trend Scores have turned higher across multiple wallet cohorts, suggesting supply is being absorbed as investors step in following the move to down $60K.

https://glassno.de/4fM7kgm

$BTC has bounced and is now pushing back into a dense cluster of options positioning near $65K.

As price moves into these zones, dealer hedging flows can become more supportive, helping stabilize the market after a period of elevated volatility.

https://glassno.de/4ortBCt

Watch this Signal - Percent Supply in Supply in Profit

Watch the Chart of the Week

Bitcoin has broken below the February low and bounced from the June low.

Here's what Bitcoin options data reveals about positioning, volatility expectations, and market sentiment beneath the surface.

Selloff Triggers a Temporary Volatility Spike

ATM IV jumped as BTC broke below the February low, with 1W IV briefly reaching 65%. The spike quickly faded, with front end volatility back near 40%.

Markets still view the selloff as a contained move.

Protection Demand Spikes Then Fades

1W skew surged from 12% to 28% as BTC broke below the February low, reflecting a rush for downside protection. The move quickly faded, with front end skew now back near 12%.

Volatility Risk Premium Narrows

1M realized volatility rebounded from 27% to 41% following the selloff, while 1M IV retraced toward 41%. The spread has largely disappeared, with RV now almost matching what options markets had been pricing.

Protection Demand Dominates Flow

7 day taker flow remains defensive, with put buying accounting for 30% of premium traded versus 20% for calls.

The last 24 hours show a similar pattern, suggesting demand for downside protection remains elevated.

Short Gamma Sits Above Spot

The largest negative gamma cluster now sits at 65K, just above current spot near 63.8K. With several other short gamma strikes concentrated up to 70K, dealer hedging could amplify upward moves if BTC reclaims this area.

Wrap Up

Volatility spiked, then normalized.

Protection demand surged, then faded.

The volatility risk premium has largely closed.

Flow remains defensive, while short gamma sits above spot.

The market has absorbed the initial shock, but options positioning remains cautious.

The 30D-SMA of US Spot ETF trading volume has contracted from $4.4B/day in October 2025 to $0.96B/day today, a 78% decline.

Combined with the 49% drop in DAT company volumes flagged earlier, both TradFi channels for Bitcoin exposure are signalling the same thing:

Speculative appetite for BTC in traditional markets has largely withdrawn.

📉 http://glassno.de/btc-etf-volume

Quoting @glassnode:
The 30D-SMA of total trading volume across BTC treasury companies has declined from $34.2B/day in Dec 2025 to $17.4B/day today, a 49% drop in roughly six months.

Speculative interest in DAT equities tracks BTC price closely. As spot has pulled back, the appetite for leveraged Bitcoin exposure through listed treasury vehicles has followed, cutting activity in half from its peak.

📉 http://glassno.de/btc-dat-volume