π Bitcoin Supply in Unrealized Loss: Insights into Market Stress
Historically, the number of $BTC held in unrealized loss provides a reference point for assessing market stress:
πΈ Bull markets: <4M BTC in loss. πΉ Early bear markets: 4β8M BTC in loss.
Last week, market volatility pushed 2.0β3.5M BTC into loss, still lower than the 4M BTC seen during mid-2024 lows.
For context: π» 2018 bear market: 10.7M BTC in loss. π» 2020 COVID crash: 10.4M BTC in loss.
π Another view: The Relative Unrealized Loss metric (unrealized losses relative to market cap) peaked at ~4.3% in Q3 2024 - far below the 10%+ levels seen during past external shocks like COVID or the 2021 China mining ban.
This highlights a more resilient market structure in the current cycle.
π Dive deeper into the data here:
Total Supply in Loss
Entity-Adjusted Relative Unrealized Loss
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