Post #23433
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With the Israeli elections, set for October 27, fast approaching, the traders’ predictions on Polymarket for the election’s outcome have shifted in recent weeks, as the initial blowback against sitting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from claimed revelations that at least two regional powers warned Israel prior to the October 7 attacks has somewhat improved. Polymarket traders now predict a 38% chance that Gadi Eizenkot’s party will still win, but at a smaller margin than before, with traders assessing a 31% chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will win.
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