Cryptoz

🇮🇳 USDT is now more expensive than the U.S. dollar in India.

USDT is trading at around ₹103, over 8.5% above its usual value.

The premium is driven by a liquidity shortage after authorities raided firms accused of using USDT for cross-border transfers that bypassed local currency regulations.

👮 USDT hasn’t lost its peg local supply simply dried up.

Same USDT. Different market. 🗿

🤨 A New Theory About Bitcoin’s Realized Price

Bitcoin has never formed a true market bottom above its realized price. Right now, that level sits around $53,435, and based on previous cycles, the bottom could be somewhere nearby.

Historically, major reversals often occurred around the realized price or after a brief dip below it. That’s why Crypto Twitter is closely watching the $53k zone as the potential “final pain” level.

But there’s a catch. When everyone starts betting on the same historical pattern, the market often does the opposite. 😡

🤔 CryptoQuant: 84% altcoins are trading below the 200-day moving average (200-DMA) for almost 8 months.

This is the second longest period of such weakness since 2020. The record is about 10 months during the 2022 bear market.

Historically, after the end of such prolonged periods of weakness, growth phases of altcoins occurred. The 200-DMA is one of the main long-term trend indicators. As long as the coin price is below this line, it does not have a sustainable uptrend – the market does not confirm the strength of the asset, and any attempts at recovery are quickly extinguished.

⚡️ Calendar of key events for this week:

Monday, June 29:
- Nothing important

Tuesday, June 30:
🇺🇸🇮🇷 USA, Iran - Expected new round of negotiations in Qatar
🔥 USA - Number of open job vacancies in the labor market JOLTS (May) - 17:00

Wednesday, July 1:
🇨🇦 Canada - No trading (Canada Day)
🇭🇰 Hong Kong - No trading (Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day)
🇪🇺 EU - Completion of the MiCA transitional period
🔥 USA - Conference with Kevin Warsh - 16:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (June) - 16:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (June) - 17:00

Thursday, July 2:
🔥 USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (June) - 15:30
🔥 USA - Unemployment rate (June) - 15:30
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance Sheet - 23:30

Friday, July 3:
🇺🇸 USA - No trading (Independence Day)

Saturday, July 4:
🇺🇸🇪🇺 USA, EU - Deadline for Donald Trump's "ultimatum" to conclude a trade deal, after which he threatens to raise tariffs

🫧 Chinese hedge funds warn that the AI bubble is ALREADY ready to burst.

Two well-known Chinese funds, Wealspring Asset and Banxia Investment, stated that the global boom in stocks related to AI technologies is looking more and more like a bubble.

➤ Wealspring called the situation a "super bubble" and warned that the point of its collapse "may be very close."

➤ The fund compared the current frenzy to the stock bubble of 2015, when the market was swept up in "mindless buying" of stocks.

➤ According to Wealspring's estimate, some of the most popular AI companies could lose more than 80% of their value.

➤ Banxia believes that the first signs of the bubble bursting have already appeared. As one of the signals, the fund pointed to the slowdown in expected revenue growth for Anthropic.

➤ Meanwhile, the index of Chinese AI companies has already risen by more than 35% since the beginning of the year, and the stocks of individual sector leaders, including SK Hynix and Micron, have more than tripled during this time.

Toncoin Drops 15% After Rebranding

📉 Following the rebranding of Toncoin (TON) to GRAM, the token has lost around 15% from its local peak.

☺️ After the rebranding announcement, the price climbed to 1.82$, but later fell to 1.55$.

🏆 Over the past 24 hours, GRAM became the biggest loser among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, according to CoinMarketCap.

😳 Michael Saylor is currently down by $13,880,000,000 – an unrealized loss from Strategy's investments in BTC…

BitMine's (Tom Lee) unrealized loss on ETH is currently $10,370,000,000 (portfolio)

👇 Bitcoin is currently < $62,000

1 hour of LONG positions liquidated for another $180,000,000+.

🇦🇹 WhiteBIT EU just got its MiCA authorization in Austria
WB-Shield Innovations GmbH, operating as WhiteBIT EU, has officially received authorization under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation from Austria's Financial Market Authority (FMA).

This means WhiteBIT EU can now offer regulated crypto-asset services to eligible users across the entire EEA — all under one harmonized framework.

✅ The authorization brings together WhiteBIT's various European compliance efforts under a single regulatory umbrella, opening the door to serve millions of retail and institutional clients across the region.

Up next: the launch of whitebit.eu, a dedicated platform built specifically for EEA users under the MiCA framework. Early sign-ups are already open.

👉 whitebit.eu

For more details you can check WhiteBIT official blog post.

❌ Hackers stole $950,000 from the ATM/WBNB pool on PancakeSwap.

🇯🇵 Japan's National Corporate Pension Fund plans to start investing in cryptocurrency this year.

➠ The fund's leadership wants to reduce dependence on the dollar and diversify currency risks.

➠ The fund believes the dollar may gradually lose its status as the world's primary reserve currency.

➠ The decision was made after nearly 6 years of studying the crypto market. The fund concluded that the crypto market has become significantly more mature due to the growing number of investors.

Japan's National Corporate Pension Fund unites ~1200 companies and more than 20,000 employees across the country.

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🤑 FRB Balance increased by $11,027,000,000 in one week!

▪️Market expectations (FRB rate):
- Rate hike in September 2026.

▪️Reuters:
- Kevin Warsh focused on fighting inflation and practically refused traditional signals about future FRB DCP.
- 9 out of 19 FRB members now allow at least one rate hike by the end of the year.

▪️Financial Times:
- Kevin Warsh refused to publish his own rate forecast in the "dot plot".
- The new FRB head is intentionally reducing the volume of forecasts and signals to the market.
- His style is compared to the Alan Greenspan era: fewer promises, more uncertainty.

▪️JPMorgan:
- "Dot plot" showed an increase in the number of FRB members expecting a higher rate in 2026-2027.

🤔 Crypto on Twitter (X) expectt a BTC sell-off from Michael Sailor.

Michael Sailor's Ponzi scheme is crumbling. We are witnessing the end of STRC – the largest deviation from par value ($100). Strategy will likely have to sell more BTC to cover increased dividends.

#oil
🇺🇸 Donald Trump: Oil is flowing, Iran will never have nuclear weapons (the world will be safe!), the stock market is surging, employment is at record levels, and prices are falling (affordability!). Our country is strong, safe, and respected as never before. "Please!"

⚽️ #AVAX FIFA uses Avalanche blockchain to fight ticket speculation for the World Cup – original

The new FIFA Collect ticketing system on Avalanche – infrastructure for verifying ownership rights, controlling resales, and fighting the gray market for tickets.

A fan receives a digital right to purchase a ticket. It can be verified on the blockchain, transferred, or sold within the FIFA ecosystem, and the official ticket is then issued through the regular ticketing system.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Donald Trump wants to sell VIP passes for passage through the Strait of Hormuz (Politico)

➤ After the conflict between the US and Iran, ~500 ships, including 220 oil tankers, remain at the entrance to the strait due to attack risks and insurance problems.

➤ One of the considered options is a paid expedited passage through the strait with possible escort by US military ships.

➤ According to sources, the idea should also push European countries to participate more actively in ensuring shipping security in the region.

➤ Before the start of the conflict, ~20% of global oil supplies passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

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#usdt
🇦🇪 Tether signed a memorandum of understanding with DMCC, one of Dubai's largest business hubs.

The parties will develop initiatives in asset tokenization, digital payments, and blockchain education.

DMCC unites more than 26,000 companies and attracts ~15% of all foreign direct investment in Dubai.

🤔 Bitcoin is significantly undervalued relative to AI stocks – Bitwise

According to the Mayer Multiple – BTC is currently noticeably cheaper relative to its trend than Nvidia. The metric compares the asset's price to its 200-day moving average. If capital begins to exit overheated AI stocks, BTC could become one of the candidates for a powerful pump.