❗️🇺🇸 - U.S. Senate Midterm Election Forecast.

The median outcome of the US Senate midterm election is the GOP to maintain 50 seats, with the Vice Presidential tiebreaker clinching the control of the Senate.

Despite President Trump's unpopularity, winning control of the Senate is still an uphill battle for the Democrats. To win 51 seats, the Dems need to complete all 4 of the followings, listed in the order of increasing difficulty.

1⃣ Defeat the 5-term centrist Senator Susan Collins (R) in Maine after the controversy surrounding the late withdrawal of the Democratic Primary winner Graham Platner.

2⃣ Elect the first Muslim American to the US Senate in Michigan.

3⃣ Flip Texas blue for the first time since 1994.

4⃣ Win either Ohio or Iowa, which President Trump won by 11.2% and 13.2% respectively in 2024.